Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 51%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.