Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 1-2 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.