National League South Gameweek 44
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels vs Salisbury - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Eastbourne 1 - 1 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Tom Leahy

Salisbury

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Salisbury 1 - 2 Weston
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Noah Coppin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Salisbury has a probability of 33.86% and a draw has a probability of 24.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Salisbury win is 1-2 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.3%).

Result

Tonbridge Angels 41.28% (-0.50)
Draw 24.86% (+0.02)
Salisbury 33.86% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.04% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.15% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 21.85% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 55.71% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 44.29% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 33.39% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 66.61% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 19.22% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.78% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Tonbridge Angels 32.69% (+0.10)
Draw 41.67% (-0.01)
Salisbury 25.65% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Tonbridge Angels 49.28% (-0.18)
No Goal 5.58% (-0.01)
Salisbury 45.14% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 60.27% (-1.08)
Equal 8 11.14% (+0.03)
Under 8 28.59% (+1.06)
Over 9 48.7% (-0.98)
Equal 9 11.57% (-0.09)
Under 9 39.73% (+1.08)
Over 10.5 37.67% (-0.80)
Under 10.5 62.33% (+0.80)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 1.5 43.35% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 56.65% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 19.13% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 80.87% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 7.03% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 92.97% (+0.16)

Salisbury Goals

Over 0.5 69.45% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 30.55% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 37.42% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 62.58% (-0.45)
Over 2.5 15.27% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 84.73% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 5.04% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 94.96% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Tonbridge Angels 41.28%
Draw 24.86%
Salisbury 33.85%
Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.27% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.73% (-0.14)
Total : 41.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.17% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.3% (-0.02)
Total : 24.86%
Salisbury
1-2 @ 8.11% (+0.10)
0-1 @ 7.41% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.87% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.52% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.94% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.26% (+0.08)
Other @ 4.74% (+0.13)
Total : 33.85%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Raymond McEnhill Stadium
  • Dan Fitchett 10' goal
  • Ronan Silva 86' goal
National League South Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Sean Shields 12' goal
  • Liam Vincent 39' yellowcard
  • Ryan Hanson 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron McCreadie 58'
  • yellowcard Jaden Perez 71'