National League South
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Raymond McEnhill Stadium
  • Ollie Morgan 31' goal
  • Nathan Odokonyero 90'+4' goal
  • goal Harry Hedges 90'

Salisbury vs Horsham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Salisbury

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Tonbridge Angels 3 - 2 Salisbury
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Noah Coppin

Horsham

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
Weston 1 - 0 Horsham
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
James Hammond

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Horsham had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Horsham win was 1-2 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Salisbury 46.38% (-0.60)
Draw 24.2% (-0.49)
Horsham 29.42% (+1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.71% (+0.89)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.32% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 22.68% (-0.65)
Over 2.5 54.9% (+1.45)
Under 2.5 45.1% (-1.45)
Over 3.5 32.43% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 67.57% (-0.35)
Over 4.5 18.47% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 81.53% (-0.27)

First Half Winner

Salisbury 34.13% (+1.48)
Draw 41.36% (-1.68)
Horsham 24.51% (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Salisbury 52.77% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.9% (-0.21)
Horsham 41.33% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 52.82% (-0.96)
Equal 8 12.22% (+0.34)
Under 8 34.95% (+0.61)
Over 9 40.84% (-1.20)
Equal 9 11.98% (+0.25)
Under 9 47.18% (+0.96)
Over 10.5 30.09% (-1.33)
Under 10.5 69.91% (+1.32)

Salisbury Goals

Over 1.5 46.6% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 53.4% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 21.37%
Under 2.5 78.63%
Over 3.5 8.1% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 91.9% (-0.18)

Horsham Goals

Over 0.5 65.13% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 34.87% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 32.92% (+1.39)
Under 1.5 67.08% (-1.38)
Over 2.5 12.53% (+0.92)
Under 2.5 87.47% (-0.91)
Over 3.5 3.86% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 96.14% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Salisbury 46.39%
Draw 24.19%
Horsham 29.42%
Salisbury
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 3.9% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.21)
Other @ 7.81% (+0.11)
Total : 46.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.56)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.89% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.07)
Total : 24.19%
Horsham
1-2 @ 7.36% (+0.59)
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.51% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 1.83% (+0.41)
Other @ 3.57% (+0.10)
Total : 29.42%

Head to Head

National League South
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT