Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Horsham had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Horsham win was 1-2 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.