National League South Gameweek 41
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Truro Sports Hub

Torquay United vs Horsham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
Torquay Utd 2 - 2 Dorking
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Louis Dennis

Horsham

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Hampton 2 - 0 Horsham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
James Hammond

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Torquay United win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Horsham has a probability of 25.44% and a draw has a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Horsham win is 1-2 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.82%).

Result

Torquay United 50.74% (+0.13)
Draw 23.82% (-0.04)
Horsham 25.44% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.79% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.76% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 20.24% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 57.81% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 42.19% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 35.3% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 64.69% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 21.23% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 78.77% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Torquay United 36.08% (-0.13)
Draw 40.23% (+0.05)
Horsham 23.69% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Torquay United 53.96% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.39% (+0.01)
Horsham 40.65% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.3% (+0.26)
Equal 8 11.41% (-0.06)
Under 8 26.29% (-0.22)
Over 9 50.2% (+0.30)
Equal 9 12.09% (-0.03)
Under 9 37.7% (-0.26)
Over 10.5 38.53% (+0.31)
Under 10.5 61.46% (-0.32)

Torquay United Goals

Over 1.5 51.61% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 48.39% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 26.01% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 73.99% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 10.65% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.35% (+0.01)

Horsham Goals

Over 0.5 62.87% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 37.13% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 30.72% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 69.28% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 11.37% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 88.63% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.63% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.37% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Torquay United 50.74%
Draw 23.83%
Horsham 25.44%
Torquay United
2-1 @ 9.8% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.99% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.68% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.66% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.37%
Total : 50.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28% (-0.01)
Total : 23.83%
Horsham
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 3.44% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.35% (-0.03)
Total : 25.44%

Head to Head

National League South
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT