Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Horsham had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Horsham win was 1-2 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.