National League South Gameweek 42
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)

Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Torquay Utd 2 - 0 Horsham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
James Hammond

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Dorking 2 - 1 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Patrick Casey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Horsham has a probability of 32.37% and a draw has a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Horsham win is 2-1 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.7%).

Result

Horsham 32.37%
Draw 25.52%
Dorking Wanderers 42.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.83%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.1% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 22.9% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 54.1% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 45.9% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 31.54% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.46% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.93% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 82.07% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Horsham 25.73%
Draw 41.35%
Dorking Wanderers 32.93%

Team To Score First

Horsham 42.39%
No Goal 6.31% (+0.01)
Dorking Wanderers 51.3% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.59% (-0.18)
Equal 8 10.68% (+0.03)
Under 8 23.74% (+0.15)
Over 9 53.99% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.6% (+0.01)
Under 9 34.41% (+0.17)
Over 10.5 42.49% (-0.17)
Under 10.5 57.51% (+0.17)

Horsham Goals

Over 1.5 35.25% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 64.75% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.98% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.02% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.44% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.56% (+0.02)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 74.81% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 25.19% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 43.05% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 56.95% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 19.06% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 80.94% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.98% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.02% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Horsham 32.37%
Draw 25.52%
Dorking Wanderers 42.09%
Horsham
2-1 @ 7.68%
1-0 @ 7.52% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35%
Other @ 4.2% (-0.01)
Total : 32.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 6.31% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.24% (-0.02)
Total : 25.52%
Dorking Wanderers
0-1 @ 9.05% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.05%
0-2 @ 6.53% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.35%
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.74% (-0.02)
Total : 42.09%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Patrick Casey 59' goal
  • Patrick Casey 86' goal
FA Cup
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
  • Dickson 85' goal