National League South
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
  • Leone Gravata 39' goal
  • Charlie Hester-Cook 60' goal
  • Jack Bates 90'+6' goal

Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Torquay Utd 2 - 0 Horsham
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
James Hammond

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Dorking 2 - 1 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Patrick Casey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Horsham had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Horsham win was 2-1 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result

Horsham 32.37%
Draw 25.52%
Dorking Wanderers 42.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.83%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.1% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 22.9% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 54.1% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 45.9% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 31.54% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.46% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.93% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 82.07% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Horsham 25.73%
Draw 41.35%
Dorking Wanderers 32.93%

Team To Score First

Horsham 42.39%
No Goal 6.31% (+0.01)
Dorking Wanderers 51.3% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.59% (-0.18)
Equal 8 10.68% (+0.03)
Under 8 23.74% (+0.15)
Over 9 53.99% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.6% (+0.01)
Under 9 34.41% (+0.17)
Over 10.5 42.49% (-0.17)
Under 10.5 57.51% (+0.17)

Horsham Goals

Over 1.5 35.25% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 64.75% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.98% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.02% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.44% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.56% (+0.02)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 74.81% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 25.19% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 43.05% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 56.95% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 19.06% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 80.94% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.98% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.02% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Horsham 32.37%
Draw 25.52%
Dorking Wanderers 42.09%
Horsham
2-1 @ 7.68%
1-0 @ 7.52% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35%
Other @ 4.2% (-0.01)
Total : 32.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 6.31% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.24% (-0.02)
Total : 25.52%
Dorking Wanderers
0-1 @ 9.05% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.05%
0-2 @ 6.53% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.35%
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.74% (-0.02)
Total : 42.09%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Patrick Casey 59' goal
  • Patrick Casey 86' goal
FA Cup
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
  • Dickson 85' goal