Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Horsham had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Horsham win was 2-1 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.