Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 15, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Internacional (Brasil)

Nacional
0 - 2
Internacional


Mejia (90+9'), Fabrizio Calione Fuentes (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mathias da Silva (45'), Aguirre (90+7')
Gabriel (26')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and Internacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bahia 1-3 Nacional
Wednesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Internacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 4-0 Internacional
Monday, May 12 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawInternacional
38.93% (-0.801 -0.8)27.75% (0.056000000000001 0.06)33.32% (0.748 0.75)
Both teams to score 48.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.48% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)57.52% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.69% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)78.31% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)28.73% (0.494 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (-0.62 -0.62)64.56% (0.621 0.62)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (0.47499999999999 0.47)32.24% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (0.534 0.53)68.73% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 38.93%
    Internacional 33.32%
    Draw 27.74%
NacionalDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 38.93%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.26% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.48% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.94% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.32%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Internacional
3-3
Nacional
Patrick (45+1' pen.), Bernabei (67'), Fernando (73')
Valencia (28'), Borre (48'), Wesley (63'), Gabriel (65')
Millan (6'), Boggio (10'), Coates (43')
Jun 7, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Nacional
1-1
Internacional
Damiani (89')
Lozano (14'), Rochet (22'), Zabala (85'), Trezza (90')
Patrick (63')
Zwarg (22')
> Preview
May 3, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Internacional
2-2
Nacional
Mercado (11'), De Pena (83')
Zabala (38'), Noguera (90+1')
Jul 31, 2019 11.15pm
Second Stage
Internacional
2-0
Nacional
Moledo (16'), Guerrero (94')
Bruno (26'), Nonato (84')

Corujo (22'), Neves (91')
Jul 24, 2019 11.15pm
Round of 16
Nacional
0-1
Internacional

Neves (39'), Lorenzetti (64')
Guerrero (90')
Edenilson (31'), Uendel (69'), Guerrero (73')