Copa Libertadores
May 15, 2025 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Paolo Fabrizio Calione Fuentes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Luis Mejia 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Victor Gabriel 26'
  • goal Ricardo Mathias da Silva 45'
  • goal Braian Aguirre 90'+7'

Nacional vs Internacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 7, 2025 11.00pm
Bahia 1 - 3 Nacional

Internacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 9, 2025 1.30am
Atletico Nacional 3 - 1 Internacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 38.93% (-0.81)
Draw 27.75% (+0.06)
Internacional 33.32% (+0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.29% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.48% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 57.52% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 21.69% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 78.31% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 9.33% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 90.67% (+0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 71.27% (-0.50)
Under 0.5 28.73% (+0.50)
Over 1.5 35.44% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 64.56% (+0.63)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5 67.76% (+0.48)
Under 0.5 32.24% (-0.48)
Over 1.5 31.27% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 68.73% (-0.54)

Score analysis

Nacional 38.93%
Draw 27.74%
Internacional 33.32%
Nacional
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 38.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.26% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.62% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.74%
Internacional
0-1 @ 10.48% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 7.4% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 5.94% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 2.79% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.24% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.74% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.32%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 23, 2025 1.30am
3
3
HT : 2 6
FT Estadio Beira-Rio
  • Enner Valencia 28' yellowcard
  • Enner Valencia 28' yellowcard
  • Alan Patrick 45'+1' goal
  • Alan Patrick 45'+1' goal
  • Rafael Borre 48' yellowcard
  • Rafael Borre 48' yellowcard
  • Wesley 63' yellowcard
  • Wesley 63' yellowcard
  • Victor Gabriel 65' yellowcard
  • Victor Gabriel 65' yellowcard
  • Alexandro Bernabei 67' goal
  • Alexandro Bernabei 67' goal
  • Fernando 73' goal
  • Fernando 73' goal
  • goal Julian Millan 6'
  • goal Julian Millan 6'
  • goal Luciano Boggio 10'
  • goal Luciano Boggio 10'
  • goal Sebastian Coates 43'
  • goal Sebastian Coates 43'
Copa Libertadores
Jun 7, 2023 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Bruno Damiani 89' goal
  • goal Alan Patrick 63'
Copa Libertadores
May 3, 2023 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio José Pinheiro Borda
  • Gabriel Mercado 11' goal
  • Carlos de Pena 83' goal
  • goal Diego Zabala 38'
  • goal Fabian Noguera 90'+1'
Copa Libertadores
Jul 31, 2019 11.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rodrigo Moledo 16' goal
  • Bruno 26' yellowcard
  • Nonato 84' yellowcard
  • Paolo Guerrero 94' goal
  • yellowcard Guzman Corujo 22'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 91'
Copa Libertadores
Jul 24, 2019 11.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gabriel Neves 39' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Lorenzetti 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edenilson 31'
  • yellowcard Uendel 69'
  • yellowcard Paolo Guerrero 73'
  • goal Paolo Guerrero 90'