Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.