Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Brahim Diaz
5'
-
Brahim Diaz
15'
-
Soufiane Rahimi
37'
-
Brahim Diaz
42'
-
Soufiane Rahimi
45'+2'
-
Youssef En-Nesyri
68'
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Ismael Saibari
70'
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Rethabile Rasethuntsa
25'
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Sekhoane Moerane
45'+1'
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Thato Malakia Sefoli
56'
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Sera Motebang
90'+3'
Morocco vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 80.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 4.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.14%) and 3-0 (13.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.14%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
Result
Morocco
80.57%
▼
(-0.65)
Draw
14.66%
▲
(+0.49)
Lesotho
4.77%
▲
(+0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
28.17%
▼
(-0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.16%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 2.5
50.84%
▲
(+1.26)
Over 3.5
27.28%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 3.5
72.72%
▲
(+1.12)
Over 4.5
12.83%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 4.5
87.17%
▲
(+0.75)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5
89.59%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 0.5
10.41%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 1.5
66.05%
▼
(-1.13)
Under 1.5
33.96%
▲
(+1.14)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5
31.44%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
68.56%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
5.56%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
94.44%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Morocco
80.55%
Draw
14.66%
Lesotho
4.77%
Morocco
2-0
@
18.26%
▲
(+0.16)
1-0 @ 16.14% ▲ (+0.48)
3-0 @ 13.77% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.28)
2-1 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.21)
4-1 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.09)
6-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 80.55%
1-0 @ 16.14% ▲ (+0.48)
3-0 @ 13.77% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.28)
2-1 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.21)
4-1 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.09)
6-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 80.55%
Draw
0-0
@
7.14%
▲
(+0.36)
1-1 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 14.66%
1-1 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 14.66%
Lesotho
0-1
@
2.69%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 4.77%
1-2 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 4.77%