Major League Soccer

May 31, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

CityPark

St Louis City
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Klauss (45+2'), Lowen (90+2' pen.)
Klauss (30'), Silva (43'), Wallem (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (82')
Floriani (34'), Edwards Jr. (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between St Louis City and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Colorado 1-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 25 at 2.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-1 Earthquakes
Thursday, May 29 at 3.15am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Louis City in this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
44.19% ( -2.43)	24.16% ( 0.52)	31.64% ( 1.91)

Both teams to score 59.4% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.05% (

-1.45)

42.95% (

1.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.65% (

-1.46)

65.35% (

1.46)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.37% (

-1.58)

19.62% (

1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.42% (

-2.65)

51.58% (

2.65)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

0.51)

26.09% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.85% (

0.67)

61.15% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 44.19%

San Jose Earthquakes 31.64%

Draw 24.16%

St Louis City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.37) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.11% Total : 44.19%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.32) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.52) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.64%