Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 3.30am
4
1
HT : 6 2
FT Earthquakes Stadium
  • Cristian Espinoza 16' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 16' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 24' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 24' goal
  • Cristian Arango 27' goal
  • Cristian Arango 27' goal
  • Ian Harkes 38' yellowcard
  • Ian Harkes 38' yellowcard
  • Daniel Munie 40' yellowcard
  • Daniel Munie 40' yellowcard
  • David Romney 55' yellowcard
  • David Romney 55' yellowcard
  • Ousseni Bouda 88' goal
  • Ousseni Bouda 88' goal
  • Vitor Costa 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Vitor Costa 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Felipe Mora 42'
  • goal Felipe Mora 42'
  • yellowcard Kamal Miller 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kamal Miller 90'+2'

San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 12.30am
Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Cristian Arango

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 28, 2025 2.00am
LA Galaxy 2 - 4 Portland
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Antony

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.87%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result

San Jose Earthquakes 47.79% (+0.18)
Draw 21.63% (+0.08)
Portland Timbers 30.57% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.2% (-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.83% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 31.17% (+0.53)
Over 3.5 47.41% (-0.63)
Under 3.5 52.58% (+0.63)
Over 4.5 28.4% (-0.56)
Under 4.5 71.59% (+0.56)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 86.29% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 13.7% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 59.06% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 40.93% (+0.28)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5 79.03% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 20.96% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 46.28% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 53.71% (+0.63)

Score analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 47.79%
Draw 21.63%
Portland Timbers 30.57%
San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 8.87% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.87% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.71% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 5.67% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 4.59% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.76% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.28% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.87% (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 47.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.92% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 6.93% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 2.87% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 2.39% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.63%
Portland Timbers
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.49% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.51% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 30.57%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024 3.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Avaya Stadium
  • Paul Marie 50' goal
  • Paul Marie 50' goal
  • goal Evander 22'
  • goal Evander 22'
  • yellowcard Claudio Bravo 48'
  • yellowcard Claudio Bravo 48'
  • goal Jonathan Rodriguez 72'
  • goal Jonathan Rodriguez 72'
  • yellowcard Evander 76'
  • yellowcard Evander 76'
  • yellowcard Nathan Fogaca 87'
  • yellowcard Nathan Fogaca 87'
  • yellowcard Santiago Moreno 89'
  • yellowcard Santiago Moreno 89'
  • yellowcard Eric Miller 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Eric Miller 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 3.30am
4
2
HT : 0 4
FT Providence Park
  • Evander 74' goal
  • Evander 74' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 80' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 80' goal
  • Kamal Miller 82' yellowcard
  • Kamal Miller 82' yellowcard
  • Felipe Mora 90' goal
  • Felipe Mora 90'+1' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 90'+10' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 90'+10' goal
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 31'
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 31'
  • goal Hernan Lopez 34'
  • goal Hernan Lopez 34'
  • redcard Bruno Wilson 71'
  • redcard Bruno Wilson 72'
  • yellowcard William Yarbrough 89'
  • yellowcard William Yarbrough 89'
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Providence Park
  • Cristhian Paredes 41' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Paredes 41' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Paredes 45'+3' goal
  • Cristhian Paredes 45'+3' goal
  • Evander 58' goal
  • Evander 58' goal
  • David Bingham 90'+8' yellowcard
  • David Bingham 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Marie 32'
  • yellowcard Paul Marie 32'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 35'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 35'
  • goal Matthew Hoppe 60'
  • goal Matthew Hoppe 60'
  • yellowcard Cristian Espinoza 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Cristian Espinoza 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Jun 18, 2023 3.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stanford Stadium
Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 3.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jose van Rankin 39' yellowcard
  • Yimmi Chara 40' yellowcard
  • Claudio Bravo 40' yellowcard
  • Jaroslaw Niezgoda 53' goal
  • Dairon Asprilla 67' yellowcard
  • Dairon Asprilla 71' goal
  • goal Benji Kikanovic 42'
  • yellowcard Nathan Cardoso 49'
  • yellowcard Eric Remedi 53'
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 78'
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2022 3.30am
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jackson Yueill 31' goal
  • Jamiro Monteiro 44' goal
  • Eric Remedi 59' yellowcard
  • Marcos Lopez 66' yellowcard
  • Jamiro Monteiro 80' goal
  • goal Cristhian Paredes 18'
  • yellowcard Dario Zuparic 36'
  • goal Bill Tuiloma 56'
  • yellowcard Justin Rasmussen 70'
  • yellowcard Eryk Williamson 90'+5'