Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 3-1 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match.