Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.