Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 31.31% ( | 25.19% ( | 43.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( | 47.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( | 69.91% ( |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( | 28.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.53% ( | 64.47% ( |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( | 21.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( | 55.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 1-3 @ 4.58% 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.49% |