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Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2025 at 12am UK
Banc of California Stadium
St Louis City

Los Angeles
2 - 2
St Louis City

Bouanga (70', 70', 90+5', 90+5')
Tillman (78'), Tillman (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Teuchert (51', 51'), Ordaz (89' og., 89' og.)
Morales (48'), Morales (48')
Morales (83'), Morales (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 3-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 20 at 3.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Vancouver
Sunday, April 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSt Louis City
65.06% (0.013999999999996 0.01)19.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)15.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 55.68% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73% (0.047999999999995 0.05)38.27% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45% (0.051000000000002 0.05)60.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95% (0.015999999999991 0.02)11.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.62% (0.037999999999997 0.04)35.38% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.6% (0.024999999999999 0.02)37.4% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.82% (0.026999999999997 0.03)74.18% (-0.029999999999987 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 65.06%
    St Louis City 15.66%
    Draw 19.27%
Los Angeles FCDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 65.06%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.27%
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 15.66%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs St Louis City

Los Angeles FC
100%
Draw
0.0%
St Louis City
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2024 3.30am
May 16, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
0-2
Los Angeles

Markanich (27'), Pompeu (58'), Blom (82'), Jackson (84'), Vassilev (90+2')
Markanich (75')
Bouanga (59', 90+5')
Tillman (45+5'), Duenas (86')
Sep 21, 2023 1.30am
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
3-0
St Louis City
Vela (72'), Biuk (82'), Cifuentes (90+2')
Cifuentes (13'), Maldonado (29')

Bell (51'), Nerwinski (77')
rhs 2.0


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