Major League Soccer
May 18, 2025 1.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Joaquin Pereyra 3' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Pereyra 3' yellowcard
  • Tani Oluwaseyi 33' goal
  • Tani Oluwaseyi 33' goal
  • Joaquin Pereyra 62' goal
  • Joaquin Pereyra 62' goal
  • Julian Gressel 78' goal
  • Julian Gressel 78' goal
  • yellowcard Timo Baumgartl 11'
  • yellowcard Timo Baumgartl 11'

Minnesota United vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2025 9.30pm
Minnesota Utd 4 - 1 Inter Miami
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Tani Oluwaseyi

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 11, 2025 1.30am
St Louis City 1 - 2 San Diego
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Klauss

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 68.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result

Minnesota United 68.22% (-0.04)
Draw 18.08% (+0.02)
St Louis City 13.7% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.78% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.04% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 36.96% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 40.86% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 59.14% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 22.83% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 77.16% (+0.05)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 90.11% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 9.89% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 67.23% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 32.77% (+0.06)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 60.79% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 39.2% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 24.09% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.91% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 68.21%
Draw 18.08%
St Louis City 13.7%
Minnesota United
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.72% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.97% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.49% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.01%
Total : 68.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.4% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.55%
0-0 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.08%
St Louis City
1-2 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.63% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 13.7%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024 2.00am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Robin Lod 21' goal
  • Robin Lod 21' goal
  • Joaquin Pereyra 59' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Pereyra 59' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Yeboah 66' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Yeboah 66' yellowcard
  • Jung Sang-bin 72' goal
  • Jung Sang-bin 72' goal
  • Frederick Kessler 78' goal
  • Frederick Kessler 78' goal
  • Jung Sang-bin 84' goal
  • Jung Sang-bin 84' goal
  • yellowcard Rasmus Alm 74'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Alm 74'
  • goal Marcel Hartel 75'
  • goal Marcel Hartel 75'
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 1.30am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT CityPark
  • Cedric Teuchert 4' goal
  • Cedric Teuchert 4' goal
  • Eduard Lowen 90' yellowcard
  • Eduard Lowen 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 20'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 20'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 24'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 24'
  • goal Jayden Reid 52' (OG)
  • goal Jayden Reid 52' (OG)
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 62'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 62'
  • yellowcard Jung Sang-bin 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jung Sang-bin 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Dayne St Clair 20' yellowcard
  • Dayne St Clair 20' yellowcard
  • Jan Gregus 31' yellowcard
  • Jan Gregus 31' yellowcard
  • Teemu Pukki 48' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 48' goal
  • Michael Boxall 79' yellowcard
  • Michael Boxall 79' yellowcard
  • DJ Taylor 85' yellowcard
  • DJ Taylor 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Yaro 29'
  • yellowcard Joshua Yaro 29'
  • yellowcard Roman Burki 47'
  • yellowcard Roman Burki 47'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Bell 59'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Bell 59'
  • goal Klauss 64'
  • goal Klauss 64'
  • goal Njabulo Blom 73'
  • goal Njabulo Blom 73'
Major League Soccer
Apr 2, 2023 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Luis Amarilla 78'