Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.