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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Allianz Field
Inter Miami

Minnesota Utd
4 - 1
Inter Miami

Hlongwane (32'), Markanich (45+2'), Weigandt (68' og.), Lod (70')
Boxall (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Messi (48')
Lujan (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Minnesota United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 0-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 1-2 Inter Miami

Despite Minnesota United having home advantage and having recorded back-to-back wins heading into the weekend, we see the visitors having too much quality throughout their ranks on Saturday and back Inter Miami to leave with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawInter Miami
44.08% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15) 24.53% (0.035999999999998 0.04) 31.38% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.98% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.24% (-0.126 -0.13)44.76% (0.127 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.88% (-0.122 -0.12)67.12% (0.124 0.12)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (-0.117 -0.12)20.41% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (-0.187 -0.19)52.85% (0.187 0.19)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)27.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (0.011000000000003 0.01)62.54% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 44.08%
    Inter Miami 31.38%
    Draw 24.53%
Minnesota UnitedDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 44.08%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 31.38%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Inter Miami

Minnesota United
0.0%
Draw
15.0%
Inter Miami
85.0%
20
Head to Head
May 17, 2020 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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