Major League Soccer

May 10, 2025 at 9.30pm UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
4 - 1
Inter Miami

Hlongwane (32'), Markanich (45+2'), Weigandt (68' og.), Lod (70')
Boxall (45')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Messi (48')
Lujan (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Minnesota United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 0-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 4-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Inter Miami
44.08% ( -0.15)	24.53% ( 0.04)	31.38% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 57.98% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.24% (

-0.13)

44.76% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.88% (

-0.12)

67.12% (

0.12)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.59% (

-0.12)

20.41% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.15% (

-0.19)

52.85% (

0.19)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.85% (

0.01)

27.15% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.46% (

0.01)

62.54% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 44.08%

Inter Miami 31.38%

Draw 24.53%

Minnesota United	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 44.08%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.38%