Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 9.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 32' goal
  • Michael Boxall 45' yellowcard
  • Anthony Markanich 45'+2' goal
  • Marcelo Weigandt 68' goal
  • Robin Lod 70' goal
  • goal Lionel Messi 48'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Lujan 80'

Minnesota United vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 4, 2025 1.30am
Austin 0 - 3 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Tani Oluwaseyi

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 4, 2025 12.30am
Inter Miami 4 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Lionel Messi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result

Minnesota United 44.08% (-0.15)
Draw 24.53% (+0.04)
Inter Miami 31.38% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.98% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.24% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 44.76% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 32.88% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 67.12% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 16.71% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 83.29% (+0.10)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 79.59% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 20.41% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 47.15% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 52.85% (+0.19)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 72.85% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.15% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 37.46% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 62.54% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 44.08%
Draw 24.53%
Inter Miami 31.38%
Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.81% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 44.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.53%
Inter Miami
1-2 @ 7.49% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.23% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.71% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 31.38%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2022 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • DeAndre Yedlin 16' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 46' yellowcard
  • Gregore 66' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 87' goal
  • Indiana Vassilev 90' goal
  • yellowcard DJ Taylor 6'
  • yellowcard Franco Fragapane 43'
  • goal Luis Amarilla 65'
  • yellowcard Jacori Hayes 72'
  • yellowcard Brent Kallman 90'+4'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 17
May 17, 2020 1.00am