MLS Playoffs
May 15, 2025 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Pablo Ortiz 40' yellowcard
  • Pablo Ortiz 40' yellowcard
  • Pablo Ortiz 45'+1' goal
  • Pablo Ortiz 45'+1' goal
  • Felipe de Andrade Vieira 77' goal
  • Felipe de Andrade Vieira 77' goal
  • Toyosi Olusanya 88' yellowcard
  • Toyosi Olusanya 88' yellowcard
  • Junior Urso 90' yellowcard
  • Junior Urso 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 69'
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 69'

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Minnesota United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result

Houston Dynamo 43.58% (-0.21)
Draw 24.5% (-0.05)
Minnesota United 31.91% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.32% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.58% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 44.42% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 33.21% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 66.79% (-0.29)
Over 4.5 16.94% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 83.05% (-0.21)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 79.5% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 20.49% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 47.02% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 52.98% (-0.06)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 73.36% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 26.64% (-0.30)
Over 1.5 38.12% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 61.88% (-0.40)

Score analysis

Houston Dynamo 43.58%
Draw 24.5%
Minnesota United 31.91%
Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.17% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 43.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.5%
Minnesota United
1-2 @ 7.57% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.78% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.34% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.65% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.11% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.1% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 31.91%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 2.27am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Griffin Dorsey 36' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 36' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 82' goal
  • Sebastian Ferreira 82' goal
  • Amine Bassi 87' yellowcard
  • Amine Bassi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Robin Lod 70'
  • goal Robin Lod 70'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Field
  • Michael Boxall 55' yellowcard
  • Michael Boxall 55' yellowcard
  • Franco Fragapane 70' goal
  • Franco Fragapane 70' goal
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 23'
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 23'
  • goal Alejandro Bran 38'
  • goal Alejandro Bran 38' (OG)
  • yellowcard Micael 40'
  • yellowcard Micael 40'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Kowalczyk 74'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Kowalczyk 74'
  • goal Sebastian Kowalczyk 77'
  • goal Sebastian Kowalczyk 77'
  • yellowcard Daniel Steres 87'
  • yellowcard Daniel Steres 87'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
0
3
HT : 0 6
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 15'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 15'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 15'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 20'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 20'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 20'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 87'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 87'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 87'
US Open Cup
May 24, 2023 1.30am
BBVA Compass Stadium
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 14' goal
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 14' goal
Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2022 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Emanuel Reynoso 43' yellowcard
  • Fabrice Picault 79' goal
  • Luis Amarilla 84' goal
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 37'
  • goal Corey Baird 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Daniel Steres 63'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 78'