Major League Soccer

May 4, 2025 at 3.30am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
2 - 0
Houston

Ordaz (10', 10'), Ebobisse (79', 79')
Martinez (31'), Martinez (31'), Jesus (56'), Jesus (56')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dorsey (8'), Dorsey (8'), Escobar (25'), Escobar (25')
Escobar (90+5'), Escobar (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Los Angeles FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-2 St Louis City
Monday, April 28 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 2-0 Austin
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Houston Dynamo
52.38% ( 0.46)	23.3% ( -0)	24.32% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 56.6% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.94% (

-0.43)

44.06% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.56% (

-0.42)

66.44% (

0.41)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.17% (

0.01)

16.83% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.18% (

0.02)

46.82% (

-0.02)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.06% (

-0.61)

31.94% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.6% (

-0.7)

68.4% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 52.38%

Houston Dynamo 24.32%

Draw 23.3%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.38%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.3%	1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.63% Total : 24.32%