Major League Soccer

May 11, 2025 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
1 - 3
Seattle

Awodesu (32', 32')
Raines (10'), Raines (10'), Artur (37'), Artur (37')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Musovski (22', 22'), Rusnak (46', 46', 58', 58')
Gomez Andrade (34'), Gomez Andrade (34'), Musovski (45'), Ki-hee (45+10'), Musovski (45'), Ki-hee (45+10'), De Rosario (84'), De Rosario (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Houston Dynamo and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Houston
Sunday, May 4 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 4-1 St Louis City
Sunday, May 4 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Seattle Sounders
45.2% ( 0.29)	25.37% ( 0.02)	29.43% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 54.13% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.67% (

-0.26)

49.33% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

-0.23)

71.38% (

0.23)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.19% (

0.03)

21.81% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.97% (

0.04)

55.03% (

-0.04)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.24% (

-0.35)

30.76% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.97% (

-0.42)

67.03% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 45.19%

Seattle Sounders 29.44%

Draw 25.36%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Seattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.19%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.44%