MLS Playoffs
May 25, 2025 3.30am
3
3
HT : 0 2
FT Earthquakes Stadium
  • Preston Judd 66' goal
  • Preston Judd 66' goal
  • Preston Judd 72' goal
  • Preston Judd 72' goal
  • Daniel Munie 76' goal
  • Daniel Munie 76' goal
  • Preston Judd 89' yellowcard
  • Preston Judd 89' yellowcard
  • Reid Roberts 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Reid Roberts 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Ezequiel Ponce 31'
  • goal Ezequiel Ponce 31'
  • goal Felipe de Andrade Vieira 50'
  • goal Felipe de Andrade Vieira 50'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Ponce 53'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Ponce 53'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ortiz 89'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ortiz 89'
  • goal Griffin Dorsey 90'+1'
  • goal Griffin Dorsey 90'+1'

San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last game
May 15, 2025 3.30am
Earthquakes 3 - 3 Inter Miami

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last game
May 15, 2025 1.30am
Houston 2 - 0 Minnesota Utd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

San Jose Earthquakes 41.08% (-1.25)
Draw 23.14% (+0.29)
Houston Dynamo 35.78% (+0.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.55% (-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.21% (-1.25)
Under 2.5 36.79% (+1.25)
Over 3.5 41.04% (-1.37)
Under 3.5 58.96% (+1.37)
Over 4.5 22.98% (-1.13)
Under 4.5 77.01% (+1.13)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 81.58% (-1.04)
Under 0.5 18.42% (+1.04)
Over 1.5 50.42% (-1.78)
Under 1.5 49.58% (+1.78)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 79.12% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 20.87% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 46.42% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 53.58% (+0.13)

Score analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 41.08%
Draw 23.14%
Houston Dynamo 35.78%
San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 6.51% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.18)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.17)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.13)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 41.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19% (+0.26)
2-2 @ 6.75% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 3.85% (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.14%
Houston Dynamo
1-2 @ 7.98% (+0.19)
0-1 @ 6.02% (+0.35)
0-2 @ 4.72% (+0.27)
1-3 @ 4.17% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.53% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.46% (+0.13)
1-4 @ 1.63% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 35.78%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Avaya Stadium
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amine Bassi 15'
  • yellowcard Amine Bassi 15'
  • goal Daniel Steres 87'
  • goal Daniel Steres 87'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 81' goal
  • Sebastian Ferreira 81' goal
  • Franco Escobar 84' goal
  • Franco Escobar 85' goal
  • Sebastian Ferreira 87' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 88' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Wilson 1'
  • goal Bruno Wilson 1'
  • yellowcard Paul Marie 9'
  • yellowcard Paul Marie 9'
  • redcard Preston Judd 34'
  • redcard Preston Judd 34'
  • yellowcard Carlos Akapo 76'
  • yellowcard Carlos Akapo 76'
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 86'
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 87'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 90'+5'
  • redcard Jackson Yueill 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 90'+5'
  • redcard Jackson Yueill 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
4
1
HT : 4 2
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Amine Bassi 3' goal
  • Amine Bassi 3' goal
  • Corey Baird 5' goal
  • Corey Baird 5' goal
  • Thorleifur Ulfarsson 78' goal
  • Thorleifur Ulfarsson 90' goal
  • goal Carlos Akapo 41'
  • goal Carlos Akapo 41'
Major League Soccer
Apr 2, 2023 3.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Avaya Stadium
  • Cristian Espinoza 7' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 65' goal
  • goal Amine Bassi 42'
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2022 2.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jamiro Monteiro 45' yellowcard
  • Jackson Yueill 53' goal
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 28'
  • yellowcard Matias Vera 43'
  • goal Sebastian Ferreira 71'
  • goal Thorleifur Ulfarsson 76'
  • yellowcard Fabrice Picault 90'
Major League Soccer
Apr 10, 2022 1.30am
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Sebastian Ferreira 8' goal
  • Darwin Quintero 18' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 27' yellowcard
  • Darwin Quintero 43' goal
  • Teenage Hadebe 57' goal
  • Teenage Hadebe 58' yellowcard
  • Fabrice Picault 63' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 68' goal
  • Darwin Ceren 89' yellowcard
  • Ethan Bartlow 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Marie 20'
  • yellowcard Marcos Lopez 22'
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 25'
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 28'
  • goal Tommy Thompson 77'
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 90'+1'