Major League Soccer

May 18, 2025 at 2.25am UK

Minato Soccer Stadium

Dallas
0 - 2
Houston

Acosta (84'), Acosta (84'), Henrique Fonseca de Araujo Martins (88'), Henrique Fonseca de Araujo Martins (88'), Urhoghide (90+4'), Urhoghide (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McGlynn (64', 64'), Dorsey (81', 81')
Raines (44'), Raines (44'), Escobar (84'), Escobar (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Dallas and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Houston Dynamo
38.78% ( 1.83)	25.32% ( 0.5)	35.9% ( -2.32)

Both teams to score 56.54% (

-1.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.81% (

-2.36)

47.2% (

2.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.57% (

-2.23)

69.43% (

2.23)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99% (

-0.1)

24.01% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.73% (

-0.14)

58.27% (

0.14)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41% (

-2.34)

25.59% (

2.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.53% (

-3.3)

60.47% (

3.3)

Score Analysis

Dallas 38.78%

Houston Dynamo 35.9%

Draw 25.31%

Dallas	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.78%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.48% Total : 35.9%