Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.