MLS Playoffs
May 15, 2025 3.30am
3
3
HT : 6 4
FT Earthquakes Stadium
  • Cristian Arango 3' goal
  • Cristian Arango 3' goal
  • Beau Leroux 37' goal
  • Beau Leroux 37' goal
  • Ian Harkes 45'+4' goal
  • Ian Harkes 45'+4' goal
  • Vitor Costa 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Vitor Costa 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Ousseni Bouda 66' yellowcard
  • Ousseni Bouda 66' yellowcard
  • 73' yellowcard
  • David Romney 73' yellowcard
  • goal Maximiliano Falcon 1'
  • goal Maximiliano Falcon 1'
  • goal Tadeo Allende 44'
  • goal Tadeo Allende 44'
  • goal Tadeo Allende 52'
  • goal Tadeo Allende 52'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard Noah Allen 74'

San Jose Earthquakes vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Inter Miami

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

San Jose Earthquakes 43.94% (+0.02)
Draw 22.32% (-0.01)
Inter Miami 33.75% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.17% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.85% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 33.15% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 45.11% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 54.89% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 26.39% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 73.61% (-0.01)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 84.2% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 15.8% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 55.05% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 44.95% (-0.02)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 79.77%
Under 0.5 20.23%
Over 1.5 47.44% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.56% (+0.01)

Score analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 43.94%
Draw 22.32%
Inter Miami 33.75%
San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 8.7% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.44%
3-1 @ 5.35% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.27% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.97% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 43.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.95%
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.32%
Inter Miami
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 33.75%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 4, 2022 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Jean Mota 12'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 73'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 10
Apr 18, 2020 8.30pm