Major League Soccer
May 31, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT CityPark
  • Klauss 30' yellowcard
  • Xande Silva 43' yellowcard
  • Klauss 45'+2' goal
  • Eduard Lowen 90'+2' goal
  • Conrad Wallem 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Conrad Wallem 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Max Floriani 34'
  • goal Josef Martinez 82'
  • yellowcard Earl Edwards Jr. 90'

St Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 18, 2025 1.30am
Minnesota Utd 3 - 0 St Louis City
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Klauss

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 18, 2025 12.30am
New England 0 - 0 Earthquakes
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Cristian Arango

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Louis City in this match.

Result

St Louis City 44.19% (-2.43)
Draw 24.16% (+0.52)
San Jose Earthquakes 31.64% (+1.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.4% (-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.05% (-1.46)
Under 2.5 42.95% (+1.46)
Over 3.5 34.65% (-1.46)
Under 3.5 65.35% (+1.46)
Over 4.5 18% (-1.10)
Under 4.5 81.99% (+1.10)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 80.37% (-1.59)
Under 0.5 19.62% (+1.59)
Over 1.5 48.42% (-2.65)
Under 1.5 51.58% (+2.65)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 73.9% (+0.51)
Under 0.5 26.09% (-0.51)
Over 1.5 38.85% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 61.15% (-0.68)

Score analysis

St Louis City 44.19%
Draw 24.16%
San Jose Earthquakes 31.64%
St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.20)
1-0 @ 8.34% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.37)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.34)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.20)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.27)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.22)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.16)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 44.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% (+0.32)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.12% (+0.33)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.16%
San Jose Earthquakes
1-2 @ 7.53% (+0.32)
0-1 @ 6.88% (+0.53)
0-2 @ 4.62% (+0.42)
1-3 @ 3.37% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.74% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.07% (+0.22)
1-4 @ 1.13% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 31.64%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 3.30am
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT Earthquakes Stadium
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 40' goal
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 40' goal
  • goal Cedric Teuchert 4'
  • goal Cedric Teuchert 4'
  • goal Marcel Hartel 12'
  • goal Marcel Hartel 12'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 39'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 39'
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT CityPark
  • Eduard Lowen 28' goal
  • Eduard Lowen 28' goal
  • Hosei Kijima 41' goal
  • Hosei Kijima 41' goal
  • Jayden Reid 56' yellowcard
  • Jayden Reid 56' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 61' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hernan Lopez 66'
  • yellowcard Hernan Lopez 66'
  • yellowcard Vitor Costa 72'
  • yellowcard Vitor Costa 72'
Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2023 3.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stanford Stadium
  • Jamiro Monteiro 47' goal
  • Jamiro Monteiro 47' goal
  • goal Samuel Adeniran 41'
  • goal Samuel Adeniran 41'
  • goal Samuel Adeniran 58'
  • goal Samuel Adeniran 58'
Major League Soccer
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Nicholas Gioacchini 34' goal
  • Klauss 45'+3' goal
  • Tomas Ostrak 68' goal