Major League Soccer

Jun 1, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena, Harrison

NY Red Bulls
2 - 0
Atlanta

Harper (3', 3'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (29', 29')
Duncan (26'), Duncan (26'), Edelman (45'), Edelman (45'), Hack (61'), Hack (61'), Edwards (90+5'), Edwards (90+5')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Edwards (34'), Edwards (34'), Slisz (78'), Slisz (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, May 29 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atlanta United

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Atlanta 3-2 Orlando City
Thursday, May 29 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Atlanta United
57.94% ( -0.95)	21.63% ( 0.15)	20.43% ( 0.79)

Both teams to score 56.95% (

0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.89% (

0.45)

41.11% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.5% (

0.46)

63.5% (

-0.46)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.06% (

-0.14)

13.94% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.59% (

-0.28)

41.41% (

0.28)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.18% (

1.05)

33.82% (

-1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.51% (

1.13)

70.48% (

-1.13)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 57.94%

Atlanta United 20.43%

Draw 21.63%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.18% Total : 57.94%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.63%	1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.17% Total : 20.43%