MLS Playoffs
May 29, 2025 12.30am
3
2
HT : 2 4
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 19' goal
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 19' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 63' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 63' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 79' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 79' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 82' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 82' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 83' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 83' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+5' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+5' goal
  • goal Cesar Araujo 4'
  • goal Cesar Araujo 4'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 32'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 32'
  • redcard Cesar Araujo 77'
  • redcard Cesar Araujo 77'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 90'+3'

Atlanta United vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last game
May 15, 2025 2.00am
Austin 1 - 1 Atlanta

Orlando City

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last game
May 25, 2025 12.30am
Orlando City 1 - 0 Portland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 38.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result

Atlanta United 38.46% (-1.05)
Draw 23.54% (-0.50)
Orlando City 38.01% (+1.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.26% (+1.97)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.45% (+2.53)
Under 2.5 38.55% (-2.52)
Over 3.5 39.15% (+2.62)
Under 3.5 60.85% (-2.62)
Over 4.5 21.47% (+2.04)
Under 4.5 78.53% (-2.04)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 79.65% (+0.60)
Under 0.5 20.35% (-0.60)
Over 1.5 47.24% (+0.94)
Under 1.5 52.75% (-0.94)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 79.43% (+1.90)
Under 0.5 20.57% (-1.90)
Over 1.5 46.9% (+2.92)
Under 1.5 53.09% (-2.91)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 38.46%
Draw 23.53%
Orlando City 38.01%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.20)
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.70)
2-0 @ 5.3% (-0.45)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.52% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.19)
4-1 @ 1.77% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.4% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 38.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.46)
2-2 @ 6.63% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.52)
3-3 @ 1.86% (+0.20)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.53%
Orlando City
1-2 @ 8.33% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.41)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.39% (+0.31)
2-3 @ 3.5% (+0.31)
0-3 @ 2.76% (+0.15)
1-4 @ 1.74% (+0.22)
2-4 @ 1.38% (+0.20)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-96.41)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 38.01%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 12.15am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Spectrum Stadium
  • Luis Muriel 42' goal
  • Luis Muriel 42' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 51' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 51' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 67' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 79'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 79'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 90'+1'
MLS Playoffs
Nov 24, 2024 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Ramiro Enrique 39' goal
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 59'
Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Martin Ojeda 42' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 62' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 90' yellowcard
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 7'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 16'
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 11.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 9' goal
  • Caleb Wiley 23' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Xande Silva 51' yellowcard
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 70' goal
  • Brad Guzan 73' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 49'
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Caleb Wiley 22' goal
  • Caleb Wiley 22' goal
  • goal Antonio Carlos 25'
  • goal Antonio Carlos 25'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 60'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 60'
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Kyle Smith 30' goal
  • Kyle Smith 30' goal
  • goal Tyler Wolff 86'
  • goal Tyler Wolff 86'