Major League Soccer
Atlanta
May 18, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Luis Abram 57' yellowcard
  • Luis Abram 57' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 21'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 21'
  • yellowcard Bruno Damiani 49'
  • yellowcard Bruno Damiani 49'
  • goal Tai Baribo 59'
  • goal Tai Baribo 59'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 89'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 89'

Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2025 7.30pm
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 11, 2025 12.30am
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Tai Baribo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result

Atlanta United 47.92% ▼ (-0.84)
Draw 22.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Philadelphia Union 29.53% ▲ (+0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.06% ▲ (+0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.69% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 36.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 41.56% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 58.44% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 23.41% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 76.59% ▼ (-0.11)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 84.43% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 15.57% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 55.48% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 44.52% ▲ (+0.47)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 75.87% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 0.5 24.13% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 1.5 41.56% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 1.5 58.44% ▼ (-0.76)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 47.92%
Draw 22.54%
Philadelphia Union 29.53%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.94%
Total : 47.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.54%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.12)
0-1 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.53%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Apr 20, 2025 12.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Subaru Park
Atlanta
  • Jakob Glesnes 19' yellowcard
  • Quinn Sullivan 27' goal
  • Jovan Lukic 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Danley Jean Jacques 50' goal
  • Jovan Lukic 56' redcard
  • Danley Jean Jacques 57' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 84' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 68'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 70'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Subaru Park
Atlanta
  • 19' goal
  • Nathan Harriel 61' goal
  • Nathan Harriel 61' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 68' yellowcard
  • Mikael Uhre 68' yellowcard
  • Mikael Uhre 69' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 69' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brooks Lennon 52'
  • yellowcard Brooks Lennon 52'
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 72'
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 72'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Apr 14, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Thiago Almada 25' yellowcard
  • Daniel Rios 55' goal
  • Caleb Wiley 63' goal
  • Tristan Muyumba 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 21'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 35'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 35'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 73'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 75'
  • goal Kai Wagner 77'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
3
2
HT : 6 0
FT Subaru Park
Atlanta
  • Jack Elliott 34' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 41' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 41' goal
  • Julian Carranza 45'+3' goal
  • Julian Carranza 45'+3' goal
  • Quinn Sullivan 66' yellowcard
  • Quinn Sullivan 66' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 75' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 75' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 81' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 81' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Almada 56'
  • goal Thiago Almada 56'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 75'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 75'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 77'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 77'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Jul 2, 2023 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Thiago Almada 7' goal
  • Brooks Lennon 79' goal
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Sep 17, 2022 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Philadelphia

Form Data

Austin 1 - 1 Atlanta
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Atlanta
Atlanta 1 - 1 Nashville
Orlando City 3 - 0 Atlanta
Philadelphia 3 - 0 Atlanta
Atlanta 0 - 1 New England
Philadelphia 3 - 2 LA Galaxy
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Columbus Crew
Montreal 1 - 2 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 3 - 0 DC United
Philadelphia 3 - 0 Atlanta
NY City 1 - 0 Philadelphia