MLS Playoffs
May 29, 2025 12.30am
4
2
HT : 4 2
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Wiktor Bogacz 14' goal
  • Wiktor Bogacz 14' goal
  • Mohammed Sofo 29' goal
  • Mohammed Sofo 29' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 70' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 70' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 74' yellowcard
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 74' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 81' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 81' yellowcard
  • Ronald Donkor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Ronald Donkor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 90'+7' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 90'+7' goal
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 26'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 26'
  • yellowcard Pep Biel 40'
  • yellowcard Pep Biel 40'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Zaha 64'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Zaha 64'
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 68'
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 68'
  • goal Liel Abada 76'
  • goal Liel Abada 76'
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 90'+5'

New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last game
May 25, 2025 12.30am
DC United 0 - 2 NY Red Bulls

Charlotte FC

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last game
May 25, 2025 12.30am
Charlotte FC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result

New York Red Bulls 57% (+0.06)
Draw 22.18% (-0.02)
Charlotte FC 20.83% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.7% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.94% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 43.06% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.54% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 65.46% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.92% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.08% (-0.03)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 85.1% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 14.9% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 56.74% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 43.26% (-0.07)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 65.45% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 34.55% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 28.73% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.27% (+0.02)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 57%
Draw 22.17%
Charlotte FC 20.83%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.92% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.33% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.92% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.17%
Charlotte FC
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 20.83%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Karol Swiderski 13' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 13' goal
  • Pep Biel 69' yellowcard
  • Pep Biel 69' yellowcard
  • Junior Urso 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Junior Urso 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Elias Manoel 37'
  • goal Elias Manoel 37'
Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Elias Manoel 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Elias Manoel 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Emil Forsberg 74' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 74' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 76' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 76' goal
  • Andres Reyes 83' goal
  • Andres Reyes 83' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 73'
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 73'
  • yellowcard Patrick Agyemang 80'
  • yellowcard Patrick Agyemang 80'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 85'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 86'
  • goal Ben Bender 90'+6'
  • goal Ben Bender 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
Oct 26, 2023 12.30am
5
2
HT : 6 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Elias Manoel 10' goal
  • Elias Manoel 10' goal
  • John Tolkin 26' goal
  • John Tolkin 26' goal
  • Elias Manoel 37' goal
  • Elias Manoel 37' goal
  • Tom Barlow 56' goal
  • Tom Barlow 56' goal
  • Elias Manoel 78' goal
  • Elias Manoel 78' goal
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 25'
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 25'
  • yellowcard Enzo Copetti 33'
  • yellowcard Enzo Copetti 33'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 49'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 49'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 64'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 64'
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 4
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Dante Vanzeir 53' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 53' goal
  • Cameron Harper 58' goal
  • Cameron Harper 58' goal
  • goal Ben Bender 13'
  • goal Ben Bender 13'
  • goal Ben Bender 19'
  • goal Ben Bender 19'
Major League Soccer
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Andres Reyes 74' goal
  • goal Elias Manoel 43'
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Elias Manoel 8' goal
  • Elias Manoel 55' goal