Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Jun 1, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Atlanta
  • Cameron Harper 3' goal
  • Cameron Harper 3' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 26' yellowcard
  • Kyle Duncan 26' yellowcard
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 29' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 29' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 45' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 45' yellowcard
  • Alexander Hack 61' yellowcard
  • Alexander Hack 61' yellowcard
  • Raheem Edwards 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Raheem Edwards 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 34'
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 34'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 78'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 78'

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 17, 2025 9.30pm
NY City 2 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 26, 2025 12.00am
Atlanta 4 - 2 Cincinnati
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result

New York Red Bulls 57.94% ▼ (-0.95)
Draw 21.63% ▲ (+0.16)
Atlanta United 20.43% ▲ (+0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.95% ▲ (+0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.89% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 2.5 41.11% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 3.5 36.5% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 3.5 63.5% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 4.5 19.4% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 4.5 80.6% ▼ (-0.36)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 86.06% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 13.94% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 58.59% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 41.41% ▲ (+0.29)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 66.18% ▲ (+1.06)
Under 0.5 33.82% ▼ (-1.06)
Over 1.5 29.51% ▲ (+1.14)
Under 1.5 70.48% ▼ (-1.14)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 57.94%
Draw 21.63%
Atlanta United 20.43%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.29)
3-1 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 57.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.07% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.15)
0-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.63%
Atlanta United
1-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.18)
0-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1% ▼ (-92.70)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 20.43%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Mar 9, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 8' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 8' yellowcard
  • Matthew Edwards 40' yellowcard
  • Matthew Edwards 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 13'
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 13'
  • yellowcard Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'
  • yellowcard Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Carlos Coronel 70' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 70' yellowcard
  • Rob Valentino 71' yellowcard
  • Rob Valentino 71' yellowcard
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 75' goal
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 75' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 90'+7' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 32'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 32'
  • redcard Dylan Nealis 66'
  • redcard Dylan Nealis 66'
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 69'
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 69'
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 70'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 70'
  • yellowcard Carlos Coronel 70'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 70'
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 90'
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 90'
  • goal Serge Ngoma 90'+14'
  • goal Serge Ngoma 90'+14'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Sep 22, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 3 2
FT Red Bull Arena
Atlanta
  • 12' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 31' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 31' goal
  • Felipe Carballo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Carlos Coronel 72' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nealis 87' yellowcard
  • Elias Manoel 90'+7' goal
  • Elias Manoel 90'+7' goal
  • goal Aleksei Miranchuk 45'+3'
  • goal Aleksei Miranchuk 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Saba Lobzhanidze 68'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 90'+2'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Atlanta
  • Daniel Edelman 32' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 32' goal
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 45' goal
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 45' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 78' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 78' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 90' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 90' goal
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 7' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 8' goal
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
NY Red Bulls
  • Andrew Gutman 80' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 90'+5' goal
  • goal Lewis Morgan 11'
  • goal John Tolkin 15'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Patryk Klimala 66'
  • yellowcard Carlos Coronel 87'

Form Data

NY Red Bulls 4 - 2 Charlotte FC
DC United 0 - 2 NY Red Bulls
NY City 2 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Nashville 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 7 - 0 LA Galaxy
Inter Miami 4 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Atlanta 3 - 2 Orlando City
Atlanta 4 - 2 Cincinnati
Atlanta 0 - 1 Philadelphia
Austin 1 - 1 Atlanta
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Atlanta
Atlanta 1 - 1 Nashville