Major League Soccer
Aug 23, 2026 12.30am
Chase Stadium

Inter Miami vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Inter Miami
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 12.30am
Toronto 3 - 3 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Miami win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw has a probability of 24.17% and a win for Toronto has a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.76%) , while for a Toronto win it is 0-1 (5.56%).

Result

Inter Miami 56.8% (+0.15)
Draw 24.17%
Toronto 19.06% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.57% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.95% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.05% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 53.5% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 46.5% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 33.78% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 66.22% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 21.43% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 78.57% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 46.53% (+0.18)
Draw 35.11% (-0.18)
Toronto 18.36% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 62.14% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.77% (+0.02)
Toronto 30.09% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.93% (-0.43)
Equal 8 9.73% (+0.02)
Under 8 27.35% (+0.42)
Over 9 52.65% (-0.42)
Equal 9 10.28% (-0.01)
Under 9 37.07% (+0.43)
Over 10.5 42.55% (-0.39)
Under 10.5 57.45% (+0.39)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 53.52% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 46.48% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 28.52% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 71.48% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 12.98% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 87.02% (-0.03)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 52.95% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 47.05% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 23.24% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 76.76% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 8.1% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 91.9% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 2.42% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.58% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 56.8%
Draw 24.18%
Toronto 19.06%
Inter Miami
1-0 @ 11.76% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 9.33% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.09% (+0.03)
Other @ 12.75% (+0.03)
Total : 56.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.77% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.01)
Total : 24.18%
Toronto
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.61% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.06%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT BMO Field
  • Emilio Aristizábal 65' yellowcard
  • Derrick Etienne Jr. 65' yellowcard
  • Micah Chisholm 70' yellowcard
  • Emilio Aristizábal 82' goal
  • Emilio Aristizábal 90' goal
  • goal Rodrigo De Paul 44'
  • goal Luis Suárez 56'
  • yellowcard Sergio Reguilón 68'
  • goal Sergio Reguilón 73'
  • goal Lionel Messi  75'
  • yellowcard David Ayala 78'
  • yellowcard Dániel Pintér 78'
  • yellowcard P. Plambeck 78'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 27, 2025 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2025 12.00am
1
1
HT : 3 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Lionel Messi 39' goal
  • Telasco Segovia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Telasco Segovia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 45'+5' goal
  • Lionel Messi 45'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 17'
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 17'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 45'+2'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 45'+2'
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2024 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Matty Longstaff 55' yellowcard
  • Alonso Coello 77' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Rosted 79' yellowcard
  • goal Leonardo Campana 90'+3'
Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2024 12.30am
4
3
HT : 6 4
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Matias Rojas 3' goal
  • Matias Rojas 3' goal
  • Diego Gomez 11' goal
  • Diego Gomez 11' goal
  • Luis Suarez 20' goal
  • Luis Suarez 20' goal
  • David Martinez 28' redcard
  • David Martinez 28' redcard
  • Matias Rojas 59' goal
  • Matias Rojas 59' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 84' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 84' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 15'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 15'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 41'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 41'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 43'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 43'
  • yellowcard Henry Wingo 54'
  • yellowcard Henry Wingo 54'
  • goal Noah Allen 79' (OG)
  • goal Noah Allen 79' (OG)
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'