Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Aug 23, 2026 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Chase Stadium
Toronto
  • Maximiliano Falcón 53' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi  82' goal
  • David Ayala 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 37'
  • goal Josh Sargent 59'
  • goal Derrick Etienne Jr. 62'

Inter Miami vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Inter Miami
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 12.30am
Toronto 3 - 3 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.61% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%) , while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Inter Miami 55.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Toronto 20.08%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.08%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 24.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.58%
Under 2.5 46.42%
Over 3.5 34.03%
Under 3.5 65.97%
Over 4.5 21.48%
Under 4.5 78.52%

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 45.86%
Draw 35.4%
Toronto 18.75%

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 61.64%
No Goal 7.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Toronto 30.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.18%
Equal 8 9.86%
Under 8 27.96%
Over 9 51.79%
Equal 9 10.38%
Under 9 37.83%
Over 10.5 41.66%
Under 10.5 58.34%

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 52.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 47.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 28.02%
Under 2.5 71.98%
Over 3.5 12.65%
Under 3.5 87.35%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 54.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 45.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.66%
Under 2.5 91.34%
Over 3.5 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.28% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 55.3%
Draw 24.62%
Toronto 20.08%
Inter Miami
1-0 @ 11.37% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.04%
2-1 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-0 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13%
Other @ 12.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 55.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.62%
Toronto
0-1 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.83%
0-2 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 20.08%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT BMO Field
Inter Miami
  • Emilio Aristizábal 65' yellowcard
  • Derrick Etienne Jr. 65' yellowcard
  • Micah Chisholm 70' yellowcard
  • Emilio Aristizábal 82' goal
  • Emilio Aristizábal 90' goal
  • goal Rodrigo De Paul 44'
  • goal Luis Suárez 56'
  • yellowcard Sergio Reguilón 68'
  • goal Sergio Reguilón 73'
  • goal Lionel Messi  75'
  • yellowcard David Ayala 78'
  • yellowcard Dániel Pintér 78'
  • yellowcard P. Plambeck 78'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Toronto
Sep 27, 2025 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Apr 7, 2025 12.00am
1
1
HT : 3 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto
  • Lionel Messi 39' goal
  • Telasco Segovia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Telasco Segovia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 45'+5' goal
  • Lionel Messi 45'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 17'
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 17'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 45'+2'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 45'+2'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Oct 5, 2024 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Inter Miami
  • Matty Longstaff 55' yellowcard
  • Alonso Coello 77' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Rosted 79' yellowcard
  • goal Leonardo Campana 90'+3'
Leagues Cup
Inter Miami
Aug 9, 2024 12.30am
4
3
HT : 6 4
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto
  • Matias Rojas 3' goal
  • Matias Rojas 3' goal
  • Diego Gomez 11' goal
  • Diego Gomez 11' goal
  • Luis Suarez 20' goal
  • Luis Suarez 20' goal
  • David Martinez 28' redcard
  • David Martinez 28' redcard
  • Matias Rojas 59' goal
  • Matias Rojas 59' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 84' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 84' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 15'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 15'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 41'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 41'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 43'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 43'
  • yellowcard Henry Wingo 54'
  • yellowcard Henry Wingo 54'
  • goal Noah Allen 79' (OG)
  • goal Noah Allen 79' (OG)
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'

Form Data

Philadelphia 2 - 2 Inter Miami
Nashville 4 - 1 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 2 - 3 Club Leon
Inter Miami 1 - 2 Monterrey
Inter Miami 4 - 2 Atletico San Luis
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Columbus Crew
Toronto 3 - 3 Charlotte FC
Toronto 2 - 1 New England
NY City 1 - 1 Toronto
DC United 2 - 1 Toronto
New England 0 - 0 Toronto
Montreal 0 - 0 Toronto