Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Oct 15, 2026 12.30am
Chase Stadium
NY City

Inter Miami vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 12.30am
Inter Miami 4 - 0 DC United
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 7.30pm
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 NY City
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Miami win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw has a probability of 24.14% and a win for New York City FC has a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.97%) , while for a New York City FC win it is 0-1 (5.26%).

Result

Inter Miami 56.94% ▲ (+1.01)
Draw 24.14% ▼ (-0.40)
New York City FC 18.95% ▼ (-0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.82% ▼ (-1.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.46% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 22.54% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 56.34% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 43.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 35.48% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 64.52% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 22.12% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 4.5 77.88% ▲ (+0.33)

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 49.26% ▲ (+3.22)
Draw 33.85% ▼ (-1.59)
New York City FC 16.9% ▼ (-1.62)

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 62.93% ▲ (+1.98)
No Goal 6.61% ▼ (-0.24)
New York City FC 30.46% ▼ (-1.75)

Corners

Over 8 61.48% ▲ (+4.71)
Equal 8 11.24% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 8 27.28% ▼ (-4.55)
Over 9 49.68% ▲ (+4.44)
Equal 9 11.8% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 9 38.52% ▼ (-4.71)
Over 10.5 38.35% ▲ (+3.82)
Under 10.5 61.65% ▼ (-3.82)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 55.63% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 1.5 44.37% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 2.5 29.98% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 2.5 70.02% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 3.5 13.33% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 3.5 86.67% ▼ (-0.30)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 55.12% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 0.5 44.88% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 1.5 24.66% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 1.5 75.34% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 2.5 8.52% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 2.5 91.48% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 3.5 2.38% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 97.62% ▲ (+0.33)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 56.93%
Draw 24.15%
New York City FC 18.95%
Inter Miami
1-0 @ 10.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 12.95% ▲ (+0.22)
Total : 56.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.97% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.38% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 24.15%
New York City FC
0-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.23)
1-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 2% ▼ (-0.42)
Total : 18.95%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
NY City
Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Yankee Stadium
Inter Miami
  • Nicolás Fernández Mercau 17' goal
  • Agustín Ojeda 59' goal
  • Jonathan Shore 75' yellowcard
  • Talles Magno 81' yellowcard
  • Talles Magno 82' yellowcard
  • Seymour Reid 86' yellowcard
  • Drew Baiera 86' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Luján 3'
  • goal Lionel Messi  61'
  • yellowcard Dániel Pintér 63'
  • goal Micael 74'
  • yellowcard Germán Berterame 77'
  • yellowcard Facundo Mura 77'
  • yellowcard David Ruíz  77'
  • yellowcard David Ruíz  79'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Inter Miami
Nov 29, 2025 11.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT
NY City
  • Tadeo Allende 14' goal
  • Marcelo Weigandt 22' yellowcard
  • Tadeo Allende 23' goal
  • Noah Allen 33' yellowcard
  • Mateo Silvetti 67' goal
  • Baltasar Rodriguez 70' yellowcard
  • Telasco Segovia 83' goal
  • Yannick Bright 87' yellowcard
  • Tadeo Allende 89' goal
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 20'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fernandez 31'
  • goal Justin Haak 37'
  • yellowcard Kevin O'Toole 65'
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 73'
Major League Soccer
NY City
Sep 25, 2025 12.30am
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
NY City
  • Tomas Aviles 5' goal
  • Tomas Aviles 5' goal
  • Tomas Aviles 23' redcard
  • Tomas Aviles 23' redcard
  • Jordi Alba 24' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 24' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 41' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 41' yellowcard
  • Telasco Segovia 90'+10' goal
  • Telasco Segovia 90'+10' goal
  • Lionel Messi 90'+15' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 90'+15' yellowcard
  • goal Mitja Ilencic 26'
  • goal Mitja Ilencic 26'
  • yellowcard Strahinja Tanasijevic 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Strahinja Tanasijevic 45'+1'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 55'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 55'
  • yellowcard Matt Freese 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Matt Freese 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
NY City
Sep 21, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
Inter Miami
  • Santiago Rodriguez 71' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 80' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 86' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 86' yellowcard
  • James Sands 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Ian Fray 64'
  • yellowcard Noah Allen 65'
  • yellowcard Jordi Alba 67'
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 68'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 68'
  • goal Leonardo Campana 75'
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
NY City
  • Luis Suarez 14' goal
  • Julian Gressel 53' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sailor 62' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 80' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Strahinja Tanasijevic 33'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 34'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 88'

Form Data

Inter Miami 4 - 0 DC United
Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 2 - 2 San Diego
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 NY City
Atlanta 2 - 2 NY City
NY City 0 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Salt Lake 0 - 2 NY City
NY City 1 - 2 New England
NY City 0 - 0 Nashville