Major League Soccer
Oct 10, 2026 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Soldier Field
  • Djé D'Avilla 20' yellowcard
  • Djé D'Avilla 43' redcard
  • Anton Salétros 55' goal
  • Mbekezeli Mbokazi 64' yellowcard
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 87' goal
  • Mauricio Pineda 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Hannes Wolf 19'

Chicago Fire vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 7, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 3 - 1 Vancouver
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 2 - 2 NY City
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 26.77% and a draw has a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 1-2 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.89%).

Result

Chicago Fire 48.87% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 24.33% ▲ (+0.45)
New York City FC 26.77% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.89% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.87% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 1.5 19.13% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 2.5 58.98% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 2.5 41.02% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 3.5 36.75% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 3.5 63.25% ▼ (-0.73)
Over 4.5 21.87% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 4.5 78.13% ▼ (-0.64)

First Half Winner

Chicago Fire 45.13% ▼ (-0.81)
Draw 37.17% ▲ (+1.18)
New York City FC 17.7% ▼ (-0.36)

Team To Score First

Chicago Fire 61.95% ▼ (-1.68)
No Goal 4.83% ▼ (-0.09)
New York City FC 33.22% ▲ (+1.77)

Corners

Over 8 56.08% ▼ (-1.64)
Equal 8 11.61% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 8 32.32% ▲ (+1.54)
Over 9 44.42% ▼ (-1.61)
Equal 9 11.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 43.92% ▲ (+1.64)
Over 10.5 33.66% ▼ (-1.45)
Under 10.5 66.34% ▲ (+1.44)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 1.5 51.56% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 48.44% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 25.78% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 74.22% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 10.43% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 3.5 89.57% ▼ (-0.42)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 64.84% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 35.16% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 33.16% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 1.5 66.84% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 2.5 12.54% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 2.5 87.46% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 3.5 3.89% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 96.11% ▼ (-0.19)

Score analysis

Chicago Fire 48.88%
Draw 24.33%
New York City FC 26.78%
Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.19)
1-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.31)
Total : 48.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.21)
0-0 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.31% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 24.33%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 26.78%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026 12.30am
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Nicolás Fernández Mercau 10' goal
  • Agustín Ojeda 29' goal
  • Malachi Jones 41' goal
  • Nicolás Fernández Mercau 62' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Waterman 21'
  • yellowcard Djé D'Avilla 51'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 77'
  • yellowcard Puso Dithejane 80'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 14, 2025 1.30am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 25, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Justin Haak 14' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Moralez 28' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Thiago Martins 56' yellowcard
  • Monsef Bakrar 58' goal
  • Hannes Wolf 70' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 89' goal
  • goal Philip Zinckernagel 19'
  • redcard Brian Gutierrez 31'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Dean 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Dje Tah D'Avilla 60'
  • redcard Dje Tah D'Avilla 84'
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Citi Field
  • Alonso Martinez 15' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 16' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 22' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 22' goal
  • Tayvon Gray 50' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 50' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 90' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 90' yellowcard
  • Matt Freese 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaston Gimenez 65'
  • yellowcard Gaston Gimenez 65'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 78'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 78'
  • yellowcard Federico Navarro 90'
  • yellowcard Federico Navarro 90'
  • goal Brian Gutierrez 90'+4'
  • goal Brian Gutierrez 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Wyatt Omsberg 25' yellowcard
  • Wyatt Omsberg 25' yellowcard
  • Kellyn Acosta 45' yellowcard
  • Kellyn Acosta 45' yellowcard
  • Georgios Koutsias 80' yellowcard
  • Georgios Koutsias 80' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pineda 84' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pineda 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 21'
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 21'
  • yellowcard James Sands 60'
  • yellowcard James Sands 60'
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Julian Fernandez 64' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 78' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 89' yellowcard
  • Andres Perea 90'+4' yellowcard