Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026 12.30am
Toronto Stadium

Toronto vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 12.30am
Toronto 1 - 1 NY City
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 9.30pm
Seattle 2 - 2 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Toronto has a probability of 28.96% and a draw has a probability of 27.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Toronto win is 1-0 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.75%).

Result

Toronto 28.96% (+0.07)
Draw 27.14% (-0.04)
Chicago Fire 43.9% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.03% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.94% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 26.06% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 51.06% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 48.94% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.03% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 69.97% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.11% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 82.89% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Toronto 26.59% (+0.17)
Draw 40.75% (-0.36)
Chicago Fire 32.66% (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Toronto 41.38% (-1.59)
No Goal 7.88% (-0.09)
Chicago Fire 50.74% (+1.68)

Corners

Over 8 67.74% (+5.91)
Equal 8 11.02% (-0.09)
Under 8 21.25% (-5.81)
Over 9 55.4% (+5.25)
Equal 9 12.34% (+0.66)
Under 9 32.26% (-5.92)
Over 10.5 42.94% (+4.06)
Under 10.5 57.06% (-4.06)

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 31.34% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 68.66% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 11.56% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 88.44% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 3.56% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.44% (+0.05)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 74.55% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 25.45% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 43.32% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 56.68% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 19.71% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 80.29% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 7.43% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 92.57% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Toronto 28.95%
Draw 27.13%
Chicago Fire 43.89%
Toronto
1-0 @ 7.99% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 6.7% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.35%
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.31% (-0.05)
Total : 28.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 27.13%
Chicago Fire
0-1 @ 10.16% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.43% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.57% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.13)
Other @ 7.18% (+0.15)
Total : 43.89%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 24, 2026 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Soldier Field
  • Robin Lod 22' goal
  • Djé D'Avilla 61' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 61' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 62' yellowcard
  • Andrew Gutman 65' goal
  • P. Dithejane 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Chris Mueller 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Sargent  34'
  • yellowcard Zane Monlouis  46'
  • yellowcard Emilio Aristizábal 61'
  • yellowcard Theo Corbeanu  74'
  • yellowcard Theo Corbeanu  75'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Jules-Anthony Vilsaint 85'
  • yellowcard Raheem Edwards 85'
  • yellowcard Raheem Edwards 86'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 5, 2025 1.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2025 6.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT BMO Field
  • Deandre Kerr 11' goal
  • goal Andrew Gutman 29'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 44'
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT SeatGeek Stadium
  • Gaston Gimenez 17' yellowcard
  • Gaston Gimenez 17' yellowcard
  • Kellyn Acosta 58' yellowcard
  • Kellyn Acosta 58' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Dean 84' goal
  • Jonathan Dean 84' goal
  • Rafael Czichos 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Rafael Czichos 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Wyatt Omsberg 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Wyatt Omsberg 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 45'+4'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 45'+11'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 45'+11'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 60'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 60'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 83'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 83'
Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
1
4
HT : 2 2
FT BMO Field
  • Lorenzo Insigne 44' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 44' goal
  • goal Maren Haile-Selassie 41'
  • goal Maren Haile-Selassie 41'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 57'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 57'
  • goal Mauricio Pineda 60'
  • goal Mauricio Pineda 60'
  • goal Allan Arigoni 89'
  • goal Allan Arigoni 89'
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Kacper Przybylko 90' goal
  • Kacper Przybylko 90' goal