Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026 12.30am
Yankee Stadium

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 2.30am
Salt Lake 0 - 2 NY City
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 12.30am
Columbus Crew 0 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 33.13% and a draw has a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 1-2 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.09%).

Result

New York City FC 43.89%
Draw 22.99%
New York Red Bulls 33.13%

Both Teams to Score: 

64.98%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.25%
Under 1.5 15.75%
Over 2.5 64.34%
Under 2.5 35.66%
Over 3.5 41.09%
Under 3.5 58.91%
Over 4.5 25.53%
Under 4.5 74.47%

First Half Winner

New York City FC 38.28%
Draw 35.68%
New York Red Bulls 26.04%

Team To Score First

New York City FC 52.1%
No Goal 3.87%
New York Red Bulls 44.03%

Corners

Over 8 57.27%
Equal 8 11.44%
Under 8 31.28%
Over 9 45.69%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 42.73%
Over 10.5 34.92%
Under 10.5 65.08%

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 49.91%
Under 1.5 50.09%
Over 2.5 24.84%
Under 2.5 75.16%
Over 3.5 10.33%
Under 3.5 89.67%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 70.45%
Under 0.5 29.55%
Over 1.5 40.55%
Under 1.5 59.45%
Over 2.5 17.98%
Under 2.5 82.02%
Over 3.5 6.43%
Under 3.5 93.57%

Score analysis

New York City FC 43.88%
Draw 22.99%
New York Red Bulls 33.14%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 9.23%
1-0 @ 6.47%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 3.59%
Other @ 9.87%
Total : 43.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 6.61%
0-0 @ 3.87%
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.99%
New York Red Bulls
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-1 @ 5.42%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.47%
0-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 5.97%
Total : 33.14%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 17, 2026 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Jorge Ruvalcaba 44' goal
  • Tim Parker 69' yellowcard
  • Omar Valencia 69' yellowcard
  • Gustav Berggren 69' yellowcard
  • Rafael Mosquera 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrés Perea 39'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 46'
  • goal Andrés Perea 52'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Shore 59'
  • yellowcard Arnau Farnós 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Seymour Reid 90'+1'
US Open Cup
Apr 30, 2026 12.00am
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Julian Hall 14' goal
  • Nehuén Benedetti 66' yellowcard
  • Juan Mina 66' yellowcard
  • Rafael Mosquera 67' yellowcard
  • Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 78' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Sofo  78' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Sofo  80' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Trewin 9'
  • goal Raul Gustavo 39'
  • yellowcard Talles Magno 46'
  • goal Thiago Martins 57'
  • yellowcard Andrés Perea 87'
  • yellowcard Arnau Farnós 90'+2'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 28, 2025 12.30am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Citi Field
  • Alonso Martinez 13' goal
  • Julian Fernandez 30' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Moralez 50' goal
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 42'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 54'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 62'
MLS Playoffs
Nov 23, 2024 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Citi Field
  • James Sands 34' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 39' yellowcard
  • goal Felipe Carballo 16'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 25'
  • yellowcard Daniel Edelman 28'
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
1
5
HT : 2 8
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Andres Reyes 14' yellowcard
  • Andres Reyes 14' yellowcard
  • Sandro Schwarz 15' yellowcard
  • Sandro Schwarz 15' yellowcard
  • Dante Vanzeir 28' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 28' goal
  • Peter Stroud 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Peter Stroud 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 5'
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 5'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 7'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 7'
  • goal Andres Perea 30'
  • goal Andres Perea 30'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 45'+5'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 45'+5'
  • goal Tayvon Gray 67'
  • goal Tayvon Gray 67'