New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.