Major League Soccer
Salt Lake
Sep 13, 2026 2.30am
0
1
HT America First Field
NY City
  • goal Nicolás Fernández Mercau 41'

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 10, 2026 1.30am
Houston 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Sergi Solans

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 10, 2026 1.00am
NY City 1 - 2 New England
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 28.58% and a draw has a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 1-2 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.17%).

Result

Real Salt Lake 46.92% ▼ (-1.94)
Draw 24.54% ▲ (+0.03)
New York City FC 28.58% ▲ (+1.94)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.54% ▲ (+0.66)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 18.4% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 59.99% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 39.97% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 37.58% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 62.42% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 4.5 22.39% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 77.61% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Real Salt Lake 39.15% ▼ (-1.10)
Draw 38.58% ▼ (-0.17)
New York City FC 22.27% ▲ (+1.25)

Team To Score First

Real Salt Lake 59.21% ▼ (-0.61)
No Goal 4.67% ▼ (-0.17)
New York City FC 36.12% ▲ (+0.77)

Corners

Over 8 58.98% ▲ (+2.31)
Equal 8 11.58% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 8 29.44% ▼ (-1.99)
Over 9 47.07% ▲ (+2.42)
Equal 9 11.9% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 9 41.02% ▼ (-2.31)
Over 10.5 35.88% ▲ (+2.31)
Under 10.5 64.12% ▼ (-2.30)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 1.5 50.55% ▼ (-1.71)
Under 1.5 49.45% ▲ (+1.71)
Over 2.5 24.94% ▼ (-1.38)
Under 2.5 75.06% ▲ (+1.38)
Over 3.5 9.93% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 3.5 90.07% ▲ (+0.98)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 67.08% ▲ (+2.04)
Under 0.5 32.92% ▼ (-2.04)
Over 1.5 35.13% ▲ (+1.59)
Under 1.5 64.87% ▼ (-1.58)
Over 2.5 13.96% ▲ (+1.10)
Under 2.5 86.04% ▼ (-1.09)
Over 3.5 4.47% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 3.5 95.53% ▼ (-0.38)

Score analysis

Real Salt Lake 46.91%
Draw 24.54%
New York City FC 28.58%
Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.40)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.95)
Total : 46.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.35)
2-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.54%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.31)
0-1 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.35)
0-2 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.30)
2-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.21)
0-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.41)
Total : 28.58%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Salt Lake
Jun 11, 2023 2.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
NY City
Major League Soccer
NY City
Apr 17, 2022 6.00pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Salt Lake
  • Valentin Castellanos 9' goal
  • Thiago Andrade 15' goal
  • Tayvon Gray 31' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 34' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 40' goal
  • Thiago Andrade 55' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 57' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 80' goal
  • yellowcard Tate Schmitt 38'
  • yellowcard Aaron Herrera 42'
  • yellowcard Scott Caldwell 63'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 29
Salt Lake
Aug 4, 2019 3.00am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
NY City
  • Jefferson Savarino 37' goal
  • Everton Luiz 45' yellowcard
  • Kyle Beckerman 68' yellowcard
  • Albert Rusnak 75' goal
  • Nick Besler 88' goal
  • goal Alexander Ring 4'
  • yellowcard James Sands 27'
  • yellowcard Alexander Ring 74'
  • yellowcard Ronald Matarrita 92'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 7
NY City
Apr 12, 2018 12.00am
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Yankee Stadium (New York City)
Salt Lake
  • Ismael Tajouri 12' goal
  • Maximiliano Moralez 30' goal
  • Jo Inge Berget 41' goal
  • Ebenezer Ofori 70' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle Beckerman 32'
Major League Soccer
Salt Lake
May 18, 2017 2.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
NY City
  • Yura Movsisyan 16' yellowcard
  • Chris Schuler 23' yellowcard
  • Albert Rusnak 38' goal
  • Aaron Maund 51' goal
  • goal Sean Okoli 4'
  • yellowcard Ethan White 21'
  • yellowcard Thomas McNamara 45'
Major League Soccer
NY City
Jun 3, 2016 12.00am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Salt Lake
  • Andrea Pirlo 27' yellowcard
  • Jack Harrison 58' goal
  • David Villa 87' goal
  • yellowcard Demar Phillips 14'
  • yellowcard Luke Mulholland 17'
  • yellowcard Chris Wingert 51'
  • goal Yura Movsisyan 59'
  • goal Juan Martinez 67'
  • goal Frederic Brillant 74' (OG)

Form Data

Houston 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Salt Lake 2 - 2 Los Angeles
Colorado 1 - 0 Salt Lake
Club Leon 3 - 0 Salt Lake
Orlando City 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Salt Lake 3 - 4 Dallas
NY City 1 - 2 New England
NY City 0 - 0 Nashville
Toronto 1 - 1 NY City
New England 1 - 1 NY City
Cincinnati 2 - 1 NY City
NY City 2 - 3 Philadelphia