Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026 2.30am
GEODIS Park

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 12.30am
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 10.30pm
Chicago Fire 1 - 2 New England
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nashville SC win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw has a probability of 25.54% and a win for Chicago Fire has a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.9%) , while for a Chicago Fire win it is 1-2 (6.01%).

Result

Nashville SC 51.19% (+0.33)
Draw 25.54% (-0.04)
Chicago Fire 23.27% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.01% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.87% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 20.13% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 58.11% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 41.89% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 36.24% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 63.76% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 21.82% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 78.18% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Nashville SC 37.94% (-1.20)
Draw 40.97% (+1.30)
Chicago Fire 21.1% (-0.10)

Team To Score First

Nashville SC 59.12% (-0.90)
No Goal 5.58% (-0.09)
Chicago Fire 35.3% (+0.97)

Corners

Over 8 62.87% (+1.56)
Equal 8 11.32% (+0.01)
Under 8 25.81% (-1.58)
Over 9 50.85% (+1.40)
Equal 9 12.02% (+0.17)
Under 9 37.13% (-1.56)
Over 10.5 39.24% (+1.18)
Under 10.5 60.76% (-1.18)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 1.5 53.29% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 46.71% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 26.57% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 73.43% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 11.4% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 88.6% (+0.20)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 61.49% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 38.51% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 30.31% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 69.69% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 11.22% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 88.78% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 3.59% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.41% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 51.19%
Draw 25.53%
Chicago Fire 23.26%
Nashville SC
2-1 @ 9.71% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.21% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.93% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.25% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.32% (+0.13)
Other @ 10.91% (-0.17)
Total : 51.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.82% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.49% (-0.05)
Total : 25.53%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.21)
0-1 @ 5.32% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.94% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.17)
Other @ 3.1% (+0.10)
Total : 23.26%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 5, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Philip Zinckernagel 1' goal
  • Christopher Cupps 62' yellowcard
  • Jason Shokalook 81' yellowcard
  • Viktor Radojević 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Warren Madrigal 61'
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 61'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Qasem 78'
  • yellowcard Reed Baker-Whiting 78'
  • yellowcard Woobens Pacius 89'
Club Friendlies 3
Jan 20, 2026 4.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT GEODIS Park
Major League Soccer
Jun 15, 2025 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sergio Oregel Jr. 44' yellowcard
  • Omar Gonzalez 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Maher 37'
  • goal Duncan Williams 56'
  • yellowcard Gaston Brugman 65'
  • goal Sam Surridge 75'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Perez 90'
  • yellowcard Edvard Tagseth 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Joe Willis 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 1.30am
7
2
HT : 10 0
FT
  • Sam Surridge 15' goal
  • Sam Surridge 15' goal
  • Jeisson Palacios 22' goal
  • Jeisson Palacios 22' goal
  • Duncan Williams 25' goal
  • Duncan Williams 25' goal
  • Duncan Williams 31' goal
  • Duncan Williams 31' goal
  • Sam Surridge 50' goal
  • Sam Surridge 50' goal
  • Sam Surridge 45'+9' goal
  • Sam Surridge 45'+9' goal
  • Sam Surridge 57' goal
  • Sam Surridge 57' goal
  • yellowcard Dje Tah D'Avilla 42'
  • yellowcard Dje Tah D'Avilla 42'
  • yellowcard Philip Zinckernagel 51'
  • yellowcard Philip Zinckernagel 51'
  • yellowcard Chris Brady 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Chris Brady 45'+7'
  • goal Philip Zinckernagel 64'
  • goal Philip Zinckernagel 64'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 65'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 65'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 71'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 71'
Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Federico Navarro 57' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Muyl 54'
  • yellowcard Julian Gaines 60'
  • yellowcard Jacob Shaffelburg 62'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 69'
  • goal Sam Surridge 87'
  • goal Jacob Shaffelburg 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Sam Surridge 19' goal
  • Sam Surridge 19' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 21' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 21' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 26' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 26' yellowcard
  • Forster Ajago 85' yellowcard
  • Patrick Yazbek 85' yellowcard
  • Forster Ajago 85' yellowcard
  • Patrick Yazbek 85' yellowcard
  • Joe Willis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Joe Willis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wyatt Omsberg 64'
  • yellowcard Wyatt Omsberg 64'