Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Chase Stadium
  • Reed Baker-Whiting 19' goal
  • Fricio Caicedo 41' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi  62' goal
  • Germán Berterame 86' yellowcard
  • Matías Galarza 90' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 4'
  • yellowcard Alex Muyl 9'
  • yellowcard Maxwell Woledzi 43'
  • goal Sam Surridge 90'+1'

Inter Miami vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 10, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Inter Miami
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 10, 2026 12.30am
Toronto 2 - 1 Nashville
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-2 (6.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Inter Miami 48.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Nashville SC 25.75%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.22% ▼ (-0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.62% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 1.5 21.38% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 2.5 56.74% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 2.5 43.26% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 3.5 36.44% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 63.56% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 4.5 21.93% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 78.07% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 41.28% ▲ (+1.31)
Draw 36.49% ▼ (-1.17)
Nashville SC 22.23% ▼ (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 55.69% ▼ (-1.64)
No Goal 5.94% ▲ (+0.14)
Nashville SC 38.37% ▲ (+1.50)

Corners

Over 8 62.55% ▼ (-1.54)
Equal 8 10.74% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 8 26.71% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 9 51.23% ▼ (-1.97)
Equal 9 11.32% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 9 37.45% ▲ (+1.54)
Over 10.5 40.26% ▼ (-2.21)
Under 10.5 59.74% ▲ (+2.21)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 50.5% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 49.5% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 2.5 25.53% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 2.5 74.47% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 3.5 10.7% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 89.3% ▲ (+0.41)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 62.69% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 0.5 37.31% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 1.5 31.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 12.12% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 87.88% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 3.9% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 3.5 96.1% ▼ (-0.33)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 48.86%
Draw 25.36%
Nashville SC 25.75%
Inter Miami
1-0 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.44)
2-1 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.43)
2-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.55)
3-1 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 10.37% ▼ (-0.40)
Total : 48.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% ▼ (-0.25)
2-2 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.36%
Nashville SC
1-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.31)
0-1 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 25.75%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026 1.30am
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT GEODIS Park
  • Andy Nájar 17' goal
  • Hany Mukhtar 49' goal
  • Sam Surridge 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 56' goal
  • Hany Mukhtar 63' goal
  • yellowcard Casemiro 47'
  • goal Telasco Segovia 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Lionel Messi  59'
  • yellowcard David Ruíz 78'
CONCACAF Champions League
Mar 18, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Chase Stadium
  • Lionel Messi  7' goal
  • Noah Allen 40' yellowcard
  • Mateo Silvetti 61' yellowcard
  • Luis Suárez 78' yellowcard
  • David Ayala 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Muyl 58'
  • yellowcard Reed Baker-Whiting 58'
  • yellowcard Edvard Tagseth 71'
  • goal Cristian Espinoza 74'
  • yellowcard Bryan Acosta 85'
  • yellowcard Josh Bauer 85'
CONCACAF Champions League
Mar 11, 2026 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT GEODIS Park
  • Alex Muyl 68' yellowcard
  • Edvard Tagseth 68' yellowcard
  • Josh Bauer 83' yellowcard
  • Woobens Pacius 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Luján 7'
  • yellowcard Ian Fray 72'
  • yellowcard Mateo Silvetti 72'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 9, 2025 1.00am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 1, 2025 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 25, 2025 1.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT