Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Sep 6, 2026 2.05am
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Chase Stadium
Atlanta
  • Maximiliano Falcón 28' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 32' goal
  • Germán Berterame 42' yellowcard
  • Luis Suárez 45'+1' goal
  • Fricio Caicedo 58' yellowcard
  • Dayne St. Clair 62' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 72' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 75' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Almirón  35'
  • yellowcard Cooper Sanchez 39'
  • yellowcard Paulo Díaz 47'
  • goal Breel Embolo 87'
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 90'+5'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'

Inter Miami vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 12.30am
Inter Miami 7 - 1 Montreal
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 0 - 2 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.36% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 19.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%) , while for a Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Inter Miami 57.89% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 22.36% ▲ (+0.22)
Atlanta United 19.75% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.69% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.51% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 19.49% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 60.24% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 2.5 39.76% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 3.5 40.15% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 59.85% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 26.72% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 73.28% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 48.41%
Draw 34.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Atlanta United 17.24% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 63.93% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 5.41% ▲ (+0.11)
Atlanta United 30.66%

Corners

Over 8 68.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 10.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 21.62% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 9 57.13% ▼ (-0.12)
Equal 9 11.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 31.7% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 10.5 45.79% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 10.5 54.21% ▲ (+0.15)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 58.37% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 41.63% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 2.5 33.14% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 2.5 66.86% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 3.5 16.25% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 3.5 83.75% ▲ (+0.29)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 55.54% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 44.46% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 25.98% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 74.02% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 9.79% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 90.21% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 3.06% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.94% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 57.89%
Draw 22.35%
Atlanta United 19.77%
Inter Miami
1-0 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 15.98% ▼ (-0.31)
Total : 57.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 22.35%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 19.77%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Inter Miami
Oct 12, 2025 12.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atlanta
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Mar 16, 2025 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Inter Miami
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 11' goal
  • Pedro Amador 45' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 62' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Lionel Messi 20'
  • yellowcard Noah Allen 42'
  • goal Fabrice Picault 89'
MLS Playoffs
Inter Miami
Nov 10, 2024 1.00am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Atlanta
  • Matias Rojas 17' goal
  • Matias Rojas 17' goal
  • Federico Redondo 35' yellowcard
  • Federico Redondo 35' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 65' goal
  • Lionel Messi 65' goal
  • Sergio Busquets 80' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Thiare 19'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 19'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 21'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 21'
  • goal Bartosz Slisz 76'
  • goal Bartosz Slisz 76'
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 88'
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 88'
MLS Playoffs
Atlanta
Nov 2, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Inter Miami
  • Ronald Hernandez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Derrick Williams 58' goal
  • Derrick Williams 63' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Xande Silva 90'+4' goal
  • Xande Silva 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal David Martinez 40'
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 56'
MLS Playoffs
Inter Miami
Oct 26, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Atlanta
  • Luis Suarez 2' goal
  • Jordi Alba 60' goal
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 39'
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Sep 19, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Inter Miami
  • Dax McCarty 15' yellowcard
  • Dax McCarty 15' yellowcard
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 56' goal
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 56' goal
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 84' goal
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 84' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 10'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 10'
  • goal David Ruiz 29'
  • goal David Ruiz 29'
  • goal Leonardo Campana 59'
  • goal Leonardo Campana 59'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Campana 78'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Campana 78'

Form Data

Inter Miami 7 - 1 Montreal
Inter Miami 1 - 2 Toronto
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Inter Miami
Nashville 4 - 1 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 2 - 3 Club Leon
Inter Miami 1 - 2 Monterrey
Atlanta 0 - 2 Charlotte FC
Atlanta 2 - 1 Kansas
Minnesota Utd 1 - 2 Atlanta
Atlanta 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia 3 - 2 Atlanta
New England 4 - 1 Atlanta