Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026 12.30am
Chase Stadium

Inter Miami vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 12.30am
Inter Miami 7 - 1 Montreal
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 0 - 2 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw has a probability of 21.83% and a win for Atlanta United has a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.29%) , while for a Atlanta United win it is 0-1 (4.94%).

Result

Inter Miami 58.36% (+1.26)
Draw 21.83% (+0.11)
Atlanta United 19.81% (-1.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.25% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.45% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 19.55% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 60.38% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 39.62% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 40.07% (+1.61)
Under 3.5 59.93% (-1.61)
Over 4.5 26.73% (+2.09)
Under 4.5 73.27% (-2.10)

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 48.2% (+1.88)
Draw 35.44% (+0.13)
Atlanta United 16.36% (-2.00)

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 64.89% (+2.75)
No Goal 5.38% (+0.14)
Atlanta United 29.73% (-2.88)

Corners

Over 8 66.78% (+2.41)
Equal 8 10% (-1.03)
Under 8 23.22% (-1.40)
Over 9 55.88% (+3.40)
Equal 9 10.9% (-0.99)
Under 9 33.22% (-2.42)
Over 10.5 44.94% (+4.11)
Under 10.5 55.06% (-4.11)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 58.55% (+1.51)
Under 1.5 41.45% (-1.51)
Over 2.5 33.36% (+1.91)
Under 2.5 66.64% (-1.91)
Over 3.5 16.6% (+2.12)
Under 3.5 83.4% (-2.11)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 55.23% (-2.24)
Under 0.5 44.77% (+2.24)
Over 1.5 25.77% (-0.97)
Under 1.5 74.23% (+0.97)
Over 2.5 9.49% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 90.51% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 2.92% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.08% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 58.35%
Draw 21.84%
Atlanta United 19.8%
Inter Miami
1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.52)
2-0 @ 8.36% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.33)
3-0 @ 5.49% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.74% (+0.02)
Other @ 16.31% (+2.00)
Total : 58.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.24)
0-0 @ 5.38% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.37% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.51% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.11)
Total : 21.84%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 4.94% (-0.19)
1-2 @ 4.74% (-0.53)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.21)
Other @ 2.63% (-0.08)
Total : 19.8%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 12, 2025 12.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 11' goal
  • Pedro Amador 45' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 62' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Lionel Messi 20'
  • yellowcard Noah Allen 42'
  • goal Fabrice Picault 89'
MLS Playoffs
Nov 10, 2024 1.00am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Matias Rojas 17' goal
  • Matias Rojas 17' goal
  • Federico Redondo 35' yellowcard
  • Federico Redondo 35' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 65' goal
  • Lionel Messi 65' goal
  • Sergio Busquets 80' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Thiare 19'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 19'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 21'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 21'
  • goal Bartosz Slisz 76'
  • goal Bartosz Slisz 76'
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 88'
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 88'
MLS Playoffs
Nov 2, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Ronald Hernandez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Derrick Williams 58' goal
  • Derrick Williams 63' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Xande Silva 90'+4' goal
  • Xande Silva 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal David Martinez 40'
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 56'
MLS Playoffs
Oct 26, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Luis Suarez 2' goal
  • Jordi Alba 60' goal
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 39'
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Dax McCarty 15' yellowcard
  • Dax McCarty 15' yellowcard
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 56' goal
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 56' goal
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 84' goal
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 84' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 10'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 10'
  • goal David Ruiz 29'
  • goal David Ruiz 29'
  • goal Leonardo Campana 59'
  • goal Leonardo Campana 59'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Campana 78'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Campana 78'