Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026 1.30am
Allianz Field

Minnesota United vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 2.30am
Salt Lake 1 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw has a probability of 27.18% and a win for Atlanta United has a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.14%) , while for a Atlanta United win it is 0-1 (8.07%).

Result

Minnesota United 48.5% (+0.29)
Draw 27.18% (-0.13)
Atlanta United 24.32% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.93% (+0.57)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.75% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 30.25% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 45.1% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 54.9% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 24.1% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 75.9% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 13.27% (+0.39)
Under 4.5 86.73% (-0.40)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 37.64% (-0.39)
Draw 42.3% (+0.08)
Atlanta United 20.05% (+0.31)

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 58.41% (+0.34)
No Goal 9.38% (-0.23)
Atlanta United 32.21% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 62.55% (-1.83)
Equal 8 10.8% (+0.04)
Under 8 26.65% (+1.79)
Over 9 51.12% (-1.70)
Equal 9 11.42% (-0.15)
Under 9 37.45% (+1.83)
Over 10.5 40.03% (-1.43)
Under 10.5 59.97% (+1.43)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 42.87% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 57.13% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 18.79% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 81.21% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 6.81% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 93.19% (-0.38)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 57.95%
Under 0.5 42.05%
Over 1.5 24.19% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 75.81% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.59% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.41% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.94% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.06% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 48.51%
Draw 27.17%
Atlanta United 24.32%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 12.8% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 4.49% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.33% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.29% (+0.04)
Other @ 6.66% (+0.40)
Total : 48.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 9.38% (-0.23)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.03)
Total : 27.17%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 5.89% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.79% (-0.02)
Total : 24.32%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Luis Abram 20' yellowcard
  • Luis Abram 20' yellowcard
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 82' goal
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 82' goal
  • goal Kervin Arriaga 54'
  • goal Kervin Arriaga 54'
  • goal Tani Oluwaseyi 60'
  • goal Tani Oluwaseyi 60'
  • yellowcard Kervin Arriaga 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Kervin Arriaga 90'+8'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 35
Aug 9, 2020 8.00pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 17
May 30, 2019 12.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
  • Franco Escobar 23' goal
  • Miles Robinson 29' yellowcard
  • Franco Escobar 83' yellowcard
  • Joseph Martinez 91' goal
  • Joseph Martinez 94' goal
  • yellowcard Ike Opara 32'
  • yellowcard Abu Danladi 49'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
Apr 1, 2018 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT TCF Bank Stadium (Minneapolis, Minnesota)
  • Francisco Calvo 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez 1'
  • goal Francisco Calvo 3' (OG)
  • redcard Leandro Gonzalez 38'
  • yellowcard Bradley Guzan 91'
Major League Soccer
Oct 4, 2017 11.00pm
Major League Soccer
Oct 4, 2017 12.00am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tyrone Mears 38' yellowcard
  • Kyle Reynish 60' redcard
  • Hector Villalba 67' goal
  • Julian Gressel 72' goal
  • Yamil Asad 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Collin Martin 30'
  • goal Abu Danladi 48'
  • yellowcard Brent Kallman 80'
  • goal Christian Ramirez 90'
  • goal Kevin Molino 90'
  • yellowcard Kevin Molino 97'