Major League Soccer
Minnesota Utd
Aug 20, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Field
Atlanta
  • Michael Boxall  29' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Pereyra 32' yellowcard
  • Anthony Markanich Jr. 58' goal
  • Tomás Chancalay 75' yellowcard
  • Owen Gene 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Júnior Alonso 18'
  • goal Tomás Jacob 37'
  • yellowcard Adrian Gill 46'
  • yellowcard Cooper Sanchez 56'
  • goal Tristan Muyumba 78'

Minnesota United vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 2.30am
Salt Lake 1 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.14% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%) , while for a Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Minnesota United 48.5% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 27.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Atlanta United 24.32% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.83% ▲ (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 30.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 44.92% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 55.08% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 24.01% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 75.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 13.25% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 86.75% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 37.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 42.41% ▲ (+0.11)
Atlanta United 19.99% ▼ (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 58.53% ▲ (+0.19)
No Goal 9.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Atlanta United 32.01% ▼ (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 62.73% ▲ (+0.18)
Equal 8 10.76% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 26.51% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 9 51.33% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 9 11.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 37.27% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 10.5 40.25% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 10.5 59.75% ▼ (-0.22)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 42.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 57.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 18.71% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.29% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 57.79% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 42.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 24.1% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 75.9% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 7.56% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 92.44% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 1.93% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.07% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 48.49%
Draw 27.14%
Atlanta United 24.32%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 12.85% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.66%
Total : 48.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.14%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 24.32%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Atlanta
May 5, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Minnesota Utd
  • Luis Abram 20' yellowcard
  • Luis Abram 20' yellowcard
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 82' goal
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 82' goal
  • goal Kervin Arriaga 54'
  • goal Kervin Arriaga 54'
  • goal Tani Oluwaseyi 60'
  • goal Tani Oluwaseyi 60'
  • yellowcard Kervin Arriaga 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Kervin Arriaga 90'+8'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 35
Minnesota Utd
Aug 9, 2020 8.00pm
Atlanta
Major League Soccer Gameweek 17
Atlanta
May 30, 2019 12.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
Minnesota Utd
  • Franco Escobar 23' goal
  • Miles Robinson 29' yellowcard
  • Franco Escobar 83' yellowcard
  • Joseph Martinez 91' goal
  • Joseph Martinez 94' goal
  • yellowcard Ike Opara 32'
  • yellowcard Abu Danladi 49'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
Minnesota Utd
Apr 1, 2018 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT TCF Bank Stadium (Minneapolis, Minnesota)
Atlanta
  • Francisco Calvo 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez 1'
  • goal Francisco Calvo 3' (OG)
  • redcard Leandro Gonzalez 38'
  • yellowcard Bradley Guzan 91'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Oct 4, 2017 11.00pm
Minnesota Utd
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Oct 4, 2017 12.00am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Minnesota Utd
  • Tyrone Mears 38' yellowcard
  • Kyle Reynish 60' redcard
  • Hector Villalba 67' goal
  • Julian Gressel 72' goal
  • Yamil Asad 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Collin Martin 30'
  • goal Abu Danladi 48'
  • yellowcard Brent Kallman 80'
  • goal Christian Ramirez 90'
  • goal Kevin Molino 90'
  • yellowcard Kevin Molino 97'

Form Data

Salt Lake 1 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Minnesota Utd 3 - 1 Atlante
Tigres 0 - 0 Minnesota Utd
Minnesota Utd 1 - 2 Juarez
Minnesota Utd 1 - 1 San Diego
Minnesota Utd 0 - 0 Vancouver
Atlanta 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia 3 - 2 Atlanta
New England 4 - 1 Atlanta
Charlotte FC 2 - 2 Atlanta
Nashville 1 - 0 Atlanta
Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Atlanta