Leagues Cup
Aug 12, 2026 1.30am
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Field
  • Kieran Chandler 37' yellowcard
  • Devin Padelford 44' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Gonzalez 59' goal
  • Julian Gressel 62' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Pereyra 75' goal
  • Joaquín Pereyra 87' goal
  • yellowcard Aarón Quirós 11'
  • goal Devin Padelford 32' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jhojan Julio 69'

Minnesota United vs Atlante - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 2.00am
Tigres 0 - 0 Minnesota Utd

Atlante

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.00am
Salt Lake 4 - 0 Atlante

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Atlante has a probability of 31.07% and a draw has a probability of 25.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Atlante win is 0-1 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.69%).

Result

Minnesota United 43.41% (+1.25)
Draw 25.45% (-0.08)
Atlante 31.07% (-1.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.54% (-0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.27% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 25.73% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 50.61% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 49.39% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 28.79% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 71.18% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.39% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 83.61% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 37.04% (+3.36)
Draw 38.7% (-1.29)
Atlante 24.26% (-2.06)

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 54.22% (+2.12)
No Goal 7.33% (+0.08)
Atlante 38.45% (-2.19)

Corners

Over 8 61.26% (-1.88)
Equal 8 11.03% (+0.34)
Under 8 27.71% (+1.54)
Over 9 49.73% (-2.04)
Equal 9 11.53% (+0.17)
Under 9 38.74% (+1.88)
Over 10.5 38.68% (-2.00)
Under 10.5 61.32% (+2.00)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 41.93% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 58.07% (-0.75)
Over 2.5 18.7% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 81.3% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 6.95% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 93.05% (-0.39)

Atlante Goals

Over 0.5 65.08% (-1.19)
Under 0.5 34.92% (+1.18)
Over 1.5 31.82% (-1.29)
Under 1.5 68.18% (+1.29)
Over 2.5 11.87% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 88.13% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 3.85% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 96.15% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 43.42%
Draw 25.45%
Atlante 31.08%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 10.03% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 8.85% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.09% (+0.40)
3-1 @ 4.4% (+0.20)
3-0 @ 3.67% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.07)
Other @ 6.75% (+0.41)
Total : 43.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.33% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.02)
Total : 25.45%
Atlante
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.32)
0-2 @ 4.87% (-0.27)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.65% (-0.13)
Total : 31.08%