Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Tomás Chancalay 3' goal
  • Drake Callender 64' yellowcard
  • goal Anders Dreyer 64'
  • yellowcard Anders Dreyer 64'

Minnesota United vs San Diego - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 1.30am
Minnesota Utd 0 - 0 Vancouver
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 2.30am
San Diego 1 - 0 Dallas
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest San Diego win was 0-1 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Minnesota United 43.02% (-2.08)
Draw 24.98% (-0.33)
San Diego 32.03% (+2.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.37% (+2.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.27% (+1.84)
Under 1.5 23.73% (-1.84)
Over 2.5 52.91% (+1.98)
Under 2.5 47.09% (-1.98)
Over 3.5 30.5% (+2.04)
Under 3.5 69.5% (-2.04)
Over 4.5 17.3% (+1.24)
Under 4.5 82.7% (-1.24)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 38.76% (+2.18)
Draw 38.39% (-2.73)
San Diego 22.85% (+0.56)

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 54.84% (+0.05)
No Goal 6.45% (-0.92)
San Diego 38.71% (+0.89)

Corners

Over 8 45.39% (-10.37)
Equal 8 11.15% (-0.50)
Under 8 43.45% (+10.86)
Over 9 35.05% (-9.04)
Equal 9 10.35% (-1.33)
Under 9 54.61% (+10.37)
Over 10.5 26.16% (-7.17)
Under 10.5 73.84% (+7.18)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 42.84% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 57.16% (+0.37)
Over 2.5 19.01% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 80.99% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 6.76% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 93.24% (+0.19)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 66.99% (+2.87)
Under 0.5 33.01% (-2.88)
Over 1.5 33.97% (+3.22)
Under 1.5 66.03% (-3.22)
Over 2.5 13.12% (+2.02)
Under 2.5 86.88% (-2.03)
Over 3.5 4.18% (+0.88)
Under 3.5 95.82% (-0.89)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 43.02%
Draw 24.97%
San Diego 32.02%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.75)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.24)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.48)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.43)
3-2 @ 2.94% (+0.07)
Other @ 6.62% (-0.25)
Total : 43.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.92)
2-2 @ 5.55% (+0.38)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.06)
Total : 24.97%
San Diego
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 7.51% (+0.43)
0-2 @ 4.85% (+0.32)
1-3 @ 3.16% (+0.46)
2-3 @ 2.38% (+0.38)
0-3 @ 2.22% (+0.18)
Other @ 4.04% (+0.83)
Total : 32.02%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2026 3.30am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Snapdragon Stadium
  • Luca Bombino 7' goal
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 53' yellowcard
  • David Vazquez 73' yellowcard
  • Bryce Duke 80' yellowcard
  • Willy Kumado 80' yellowcard
  • goal Kyle Duncan 15'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 40'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 68'
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 68'
  • yellowcard Carlos Harvey 71'
  • yellowcard Bongokuhle Hlongwane 83'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Dieng 83'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 25, 2025 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anders Dreyer 72' goal
  • Ian Pilcher 77' yellowcard
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Pablo Sisniega 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nectar Triantis 15'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Yeboah 20'
  • yellowcard Carlos Harvey 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich 81'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 14, 2025 3.30am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 15, 2025 1.30am
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Christopher McVey 8' goal
  • Kelvin Yeboah 38' goal
  • goal Anders Dreyer 11'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 66'
  • goal Milan Iloski 75'
  • goal Milan Iloski 90'+2'