Major League Soccer
Aug 24, 2026 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Atlanta Stadium
  • Tomás Jacob 13' goal
  • Fafà Picault 24' goal
  • Luke Brennan 72' yellowcard
  • Elías Báez 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emir Karic 22'
  • goal Stephen Afrifa 70'

Atlanta United vs Sporting Kansas City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 1.30am
Minnesota Utd 1 - 2 Atlanta
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 1.00am
Kansas 1 - 1 St Louis City
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Dejan Joveljić

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.96% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%) , while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Atlanta United 63.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 18.96%
Sporting Kansas City 17.37% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.89% ▲ (+0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.07% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 15.93% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 64.62% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 35.38% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 41.74% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 58.26% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 4.5 27.8% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 72.2% ▼ (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 48.28%
Draw 36.05%
Sporting Kansas City 15.66%

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 68.04% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 3.92% ▼ (-0.05)
Sporting Kansas City 28.04% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.43%
Equal 8 10.81%
Under 8 28.76%
Over 9 49.18%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 39.57%
Over 10.5 38.42%
Under 10.5 61.58%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 63.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 36.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 38.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 61.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 18.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 81.09% ▼ (-0.04)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5 53.37% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 46.63% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 23.77% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 76.23% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 2.5 7.84% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 92.16% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 2.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 97.67% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 63.7%
Draw 18.95%
Sporting Kansas City 17.37%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 10.01% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.13%
3-0 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 18.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 63.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 18.95%
Sporting Kansas City
1-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 17.37%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Feb 27, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Miles Robinson 3' yellowcard
  • Osvaldo Alonso 11' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araujo 20' goal
  • Andrew Gutman 23' yellowcard
  • Dom Dwyer 45'+3' goal
  • Caleb Wiley 89' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Mauri 58'
  • yellowcard Andreu Fontas 79'
  • goal Daniel Salloi 85'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
Mar 14, 2020 11.00pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 12
May 6, 2019 2.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
  • goal Josef Martinez 39'
  • goal Ezequiel Barco 47'
  • yellowcard Eric Remedi 66'
  • goal Josef Martinez 76'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 11
May 10, 2018 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
  • Jeff Larentowicz 31' yellowcard
  • Brad Guzan 34' redcard
  • goal Daniel Salloi 67'
  • goal Gerso Fernando 87'
  • yellowcard Matt Besler 89'
Major League Soccer
Aug 7, 2017 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ike Opara 27' yellowcard
  • Benny Feilhaber 59' goal
  • yellowcard Jeff Larentowicz 21'
  • yellowcard Carlos Carmona 24'
  • yellowcard Yamil Asad 51'
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 61'
  • yellowcard Mikey Ambrose 77'
  • goal Jacob Peterson 91'