Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026 12.30am
Toronto Stadium

Toronto vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 12.30am
Toronto 4 - 4 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.30am
NY City 0 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.03%. A draw has a probability of 28.69% and a win for Toronto has a probability of 28.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.72%) , while for a Toronto win it is 1-0 (9.06%).

Result

Toronto 28.24% (-0.78)
Draw 28.69% (+0.43)
Nashville SC 43.03% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.22% (-1.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.12% (-1.34)
Under 1.5 30.88% (+1.34)
Over 2.5 44.34% (-1.03)
Under 2.5 55.66% (+1.03)
Over 3.5 24.03% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 75.97% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 12.89% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 87.11% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Toronto 26.06%
Draw 41.72%
Nashville SC 32.22%

Team To Score First

Toronto 39.97% (-0.36)
No Goal 9.92% (+0.78)
Nashville SC 50.11% (-0.43)

Corners

Over 8 64.14%
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 24.44%
Over 9 51.83%
Equal 9 12.32%
Under 9 35.86%
Over 10.5 39.78%
Under 10.5 60.23%

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 27.5% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 72.5% (+1.05)
Over 2.5 9.55% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 90.45% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 2.73% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 97.27% (+0.09)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 72.35% (-0.50)
Under 0.5 27.65% (+0.50)
Over 1.5 38.87% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 61.13% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 16.19% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.81% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.41% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.59% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Toronto 28.26%
Draw 28.7%
Nashville SC 43.03%
Toronto
1-0 @ 9.06% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 6.51% (-0.28)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.20)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.53% (-0.11)
Total : 28.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.19)
0-0 @ 9.92% (+0.78)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.02)
Total : 28.7%
Nashville SC
0-1 @ 11.89% (+0.46)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 7.67% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.21% (+0.05)
Total : 43.03%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
MLS Playoffs
May 25, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Federico Bernardeschi 86' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 86' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio 90'+1' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 90'+1' goal
  • Kosi Thompson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Kosi Thompson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 57'
  • goal Sam Surridge 57'
  • goal Sam Surridge 89'
  • goal Sam Surridge 89'
Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
  • Alonso Coello 34' goal
  • Alonso Coello 34' goal
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Kevin Long 72' yellowcard
  • Kevin Long 72' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 65'
  • goal Sam Surridge 65'
  • yellowcard Duncan Williams 71'
  • yellowcard Duncan Williams 71'
  • goal Sam Surridge 90'
  • goal Sam Surridge 90'
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Dru Yearwood 36' yellowcard
  • Dru Yearwood 36' yellowcard
  • Shaquell Moore 81' goal
  • Shaquell Moore 81' goal
  • Tyler Boyd 86' yellowcard
  • Tyler Boyd 86' yellowcard
  • Teal Bunbury 90'+1' goal
  • Teal Bunbury 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 60'
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 60'
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
  • Lorenzo Insigne 38' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 38' goal
  • goal Randall Leal 69'
  • goal Randall Leal 69'
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT First Tennessee Park