Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Toronto Stadium
  • Dániel Sallói 72' goal
  • Emilio Aristizábal 90'+3' goal
  • Luka Gavran 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Niklas Dorsch 3' (OG)

Toronto vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 12.30am
Toronto 4 - 4 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.30am
NY City 0 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.85%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 27.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%) , while for a Toronto win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Toronto 27.15% ▼ (-1.09)
Draw 29% ▲ (+0.31)
Nashville SC 43.85% ▲ (+0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.45% ▲ (+0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.23% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 30.77% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 44.75% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 2.5 55.25% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 3.5 25.23% ▲ (+1.20)
Under 3.5 74.78% ▼ (-1.19)
Over 4.5 13.97% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 4.5 86.03% ▼ (-1.08)

First Half Winner

Toronto 26.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 39.7% ▼ (-2.02)
Nashville SC 34.2% ▲ (+1.99)

Team To Score First

Toronto 38.44% ▼ (-1.54)
No Goal 10.18% ▲ (+0.26)
Nashville SC 51.38% ▲ (+1.28)

Corners

Over 8 58.32% ▼ (-5.82)
Equal 8 11.02% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 8 30.66% ▲ (+6.22)
Over 9 47.04% ▼ (-4.79)
Equal 9 11.28% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 9 41.68% ▲ (+5.82)
Over 10.5 36.42% ▼ (-3.36)
Under 10.5 63.58% ▲ (+3.36)

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 27.07% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 72.93% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 2.5 9.48% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 90.52% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.9% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 97.1% ▼ (-0.18)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 72.6% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 0.5 27.4% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 1.5 40.04% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 1.5 59.96% ▼ (-1.18)
Over 2.5 17.05% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 2.5 82.95% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 3.5 6.13% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 3.5 93.87% ▼ (-0.72)

Score analysis

Toronto 27.15%
Draw 29%
Nashville SC 43.86%
Toronto
1-0 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.29)
2-1 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.50)
2-0 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.20)
Total : 27.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 10.18% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 29%
Nashville SC
0-1 @ 11.82% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.75)
Total : 43.86%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
MLS Playoffs
May 25, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Federico Bernardeschi 86' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 86' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio 90'+1' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 90'+1' goal
  • Kosi Thompson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Kosi Thompson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 57'
  • goal Sam Surridge 57'
  • goal Sam Surridge 89'
  • goal Sam Surridge 89'
Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
  • Alonso Coello 34' goal
  • Alonso Coello 34' goal
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Kevin Long 72' yellowcard
  • Kevin Long 72' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 65'
  • goal Sam Surridge 65'
  • yellowcard Duncan Williams 71'
  • yellowcard Duncan Williams 71'
  • goal Sam Surridge 90'
  • goal Sam Surridge 90'
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Dru Yearwood 36' yellowcard
  • Dru Yearwood 36' yellowcard
  • Shaquell Moore 81' goal
  • Shaquell Moore 81' goal
  • Tyler Boyd 86' yellowcard
  • Tyler Boyd 86' yellowcard
  • Teal Bunbury 90'+1' goal
  • Teal Bunbury 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 60'
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 60'
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
  • Lorenzo Insigne 38' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 38' goal
  • goal Randall Leal 69'
  • goal Randall Leal 69'
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT First Tennessee Park