Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta Stadium

Atlanta United vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 3.30am
Portland 0 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 12.30am
NY City 0 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 35.23% and a draw has a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 1-2 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.91%).

Result

Atlanta United 40.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 24.67% ▲ (+0.04)
New York City FC 35.23% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.55% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.97% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 19.03% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 59.32% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 40.68% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 36.66% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 63.34% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 21.59% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 78.41% ▲ (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 36.58% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 38.84% ▲ (+0.02)
New York City FC 24.57% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 52.74% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 5.02% ▲ (+0.05)
New York City FC 42.24% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.35% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 30.93% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 9 45.44% ▼ (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 42.65% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 10.5 34.37% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 65.63% ▲ (+0.11)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 44.5% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 55.5% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 20.11% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 79.89% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 7.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 92.71% ▲ (+0.06)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 71.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 28.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 40.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 59.18% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 17.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 82.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 6.26% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.74% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 40.06%
Draw 24.67%
New York City FC 35.24%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.25%
Other @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 40.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.67%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 35.24%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jun 13, 2025 12.30am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Maximiliano Moralez 44' goal
  • Monsef Bakrar 55' goal
  • Hannes Wolf 57' goal
  • Hannes Wolf 59' goal
Major League Soccer
Mar 29, 2025 11.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 42' goal
  • Keaton Parks 62' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 75' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 84' goal
  • Brad Guzan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Hannes Wolf 15'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 48'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 51'
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Daniel Rios 1' goal
  • Daniel Rios 1' goal
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 38' goal
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 38' goal
  • Tristan Muyumba 61' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 61' yellowcard
  • Brooks Lennon 86' yellowcard
  • Brooks Lennon 86' yellowcard
  • Luke Brennan 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Luke Brennan 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Monsef Bakrar 65'
  • goal Monsef Bakrar 65'
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 77'
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 77'
  • goal Talles Magno 82'
  • goal Talles Magno 82'
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • James Sands 15' yellowcard
  • James Sands 15' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 43' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 43' goal
  • Tayvon Gray 50' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 50' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 74' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 61'
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 61'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 65'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 65'
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Tyler Wolff 11' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 11' goal
  • Elio Nicolas Firmino 90'+5' goal
  • Nick Firmino 90'+5' goal
  • goal Gabriel Pereira 1'
  • goal Gabriel Pereira 1'
  • goal Gabriel Pereira 56'
  • goal Gabriel Pereira 56'
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Gabriel Pereira 72' goal
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 70'