Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Sep 10, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta Stadium
Orlando City

Atlanta United vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 12.30am
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 12.30am
Orlando City 1 - 0 San Diego
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Martín Ojeda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Orlando City has a probability of 33.07% and a draw has a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Orlando City win is 1-2 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.78%).

Result

Atlanta United 42.62%
Draw 24.31% ▲ (+0.10)
Orlando City 33.07% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.91% ▼ (-0.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.42% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 15.58% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 65.37% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 34.63% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 43.42% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 3.5 56.55% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 4.5 27.44% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 4.5 72.56% ▲ (+0.33)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 37.65%
Draw 36.64%
Orlando City 25.7%

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 54.95% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 4.2% ▲ (+0.09)
Orlando City 40.85% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 68.42%
Equal 8 10.36%
Under 8 21.22%
Over 9 56.86%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 31.58%
Over 10.5 45.12%
Under 10.5 54.88%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 50.35% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 49.65% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 25.78% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 74.22% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 11.27% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 88.73% ▲ (+0.10)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 70.86% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 29.14% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 1.5 41.85% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 1.5 58.15% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 2.5 19.17% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 80.83% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 7.32% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 92.68% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 42.62%
Draw 24.3%
Orlando City 33.07%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 10.48% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 42.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.3%
Orlando City
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-1 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 33.07%

Head to Head

US Open Cup
Orlando City
May 20, 2026 12.30am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Exploria Stadium
Atlanta
  • David Brekalo 5' goal
  • Griffin Dorsey 16' goal
  • Tiago 24' goal
  • Tiago 45'+5' goal
  • Luis Otávio 58' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 74' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Taifi 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Marco Pašalić 84' yellowcard
  • Wilder Cartagena  84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Berrocal 46'
  • yellowcard Matías Galarza Fonda 46'
  • yellowcard Saba Lobjanidze 46'
  • yellowcard Tristan Muyumba 46'
  • yellowcard Sergio Santos 74'
  • yellowcard 76'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 84'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
May 17, 2026 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Exploria Stadium
Atlanta
  • Griffin Dorsey 18' goal
  • Iago Teodoro 46' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Spicer 59' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 69' yellowcard
  • Luis Otávio 69' yellowcard
  • Wilder Cartagena  82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fafà Picault 59'
  • yellowcard Stian Gregersen 68'
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 68'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 68'
  • yellowcard Cayman Togashi 78'
  • goal Ajani Fortune 86'
MLS Playoffs
Atlanta
May 29, 2025 12.30am
3
2
HT : 2 4
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Orlando City
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 19' goal
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 19' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 63' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 63' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 79' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 79' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 82' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 82' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 83' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 83' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+5' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+5' goal
  • goal Cesar Araujo 4'
  • goal Cesar Araujo 4'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 32'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 32'
  • redcard Cesar Araujo 77'
  • redcard Cesar Araujo 77'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Apr 27, 2025 12.15am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Spectrum Stadium
Atlanta
  • Luis Muriel 42' goal
  • Luis Muriel 42' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 51' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 51' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 67' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 79'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 79'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 90'+1'
MLS Playoffs
Orlando City
Nov 24, 2024 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
Atlanta
  • Ramiro Enrique 39' goal
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 59'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Orlando City Stadium
Atlanta
  • Martin Ojeda 42' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 62' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 90' yellowcard
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 7'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 16'

Form Data

Inter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta
Atlanta 0 - 2 Charlotte FC
Atlanta 2 - 1 Kansas
Minnesota Utd 1 - 2 Atlanta
Atlanta 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia 3 - 2 Atlanta
Orlando City 1 - 0 San Diego
Minnesota Utd 3 - 3 Orlando City
Orlando City 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Orlando City 1 - 2 Chicago Fire
Orlando City 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Orlando City 2 - 2 Atletico San Luis