Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Inter&Co Stadium
  • Antoine Griezmann 28' goal
  • Luis Otávio 85' yellowcard
  • David Brekalo 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Iván Angulo 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Vazquez 84'
  • yellowcard Kieran Sargeant 90'+4'

Orlando City vs San Diego - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 1.30am
Minnesota Utd 3 - 3 Orlando City
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 3.30am
San Diego 3 - 1 LA Galaxy
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest San Diego win was 1-2 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Orlando City 41.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 23.05% ▲ (+0.02)
San Diego 35.56% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.7% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 16.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 62.67%
Under 2.5 37.33%
Over 3.5 40.74%
Under 3.5 59.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 25.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 74.76% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Orlando City 34.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 36.6% ▼ (-0.11)
San Diego 28.65% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Orlando City 55.12% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 4.07%
San Diego 40.81% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 31.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 44.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 43.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 33.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 66.03% ▲ (+0.02)

Orlando City Goals

Over 1.5 47.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.12% ▲ (+0.02)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 72.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 27.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 19.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 80.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.01%
Under 3.5 92.99%

Score analysis

Orlando City 41.36%
Draw 23.04%
San Diego 35.55%
Orlando City
2-1 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 2.99%
Other @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 41.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.07%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.04%
San Diego
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-1 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 4.77%
1-3 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.85%
0-3 @ 2.36%
Other @ 6.71%
Total : 35.55%