Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Stadium
  • Eddie Segura 62' yellowcard
  • Mark Delgado 80' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Choinière 84' yellowcard
  • Heung-min Son  90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Alvarado  29'
  • yellowcard Onni Valakari 75'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 89'
  • yellowcard Anders Dreyer 90'
  • redcard Anders Dreyer 90'+6'

Los Angeles FC vs San Diego - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 12.30am
Vancouver 1 - 1 Los Angeles
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Denis Bouanga

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 1.30am
Minnesota Utd 1 - 1 San Diego
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.88% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.25%) and 2-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%) , while for a San Diego win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Los Angeles FC 60.83% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 20.88% ▼ (-0.02)
San Diego 18.29% ▼ (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.13% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.38% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 21.62% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 56.26% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 43.74% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 33.56% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 66.44% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 20.87% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 79.13% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Los Angeles FC 46.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 33.83%
San Diego 19.18% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Los Angeles FC 63.09% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 5.61% ▲ (+0.07)
San Diego 31.3% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.79% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 29.99% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 9 47.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 41.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 10.5 36.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 63.6% ▲ (+0.03)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 1.5 57.15%
Under 1.5 42.85%
Over 2.5 30.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 69.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 13.08%
Under 3.5 86.92%

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 53.68% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 46.32% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 22.3% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 77.7% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 6.93% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 93.07% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 1.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 98.18% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Los Angeles FC 60.82%
Draw 20.89%
San Diego 18.29%
Los Angeles FC
1-0 @ 10.98% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 10.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 13.01%
Total : 60.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.66%
0-0 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 20.89%
San Diego
0-1 @ 5.03%
1-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 18.29%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 3, 2026 2.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Snapdragon Stadium
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 7' goal
  • Lewis Morgan  67' yellowcard
  • Ian Pilcher 67' yellowcard
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 71' goal
  • Alejandro Alvarado  83' yellowcard
  • Wilson Eisner 89' yellowcard
  • Duran Ferree 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Delgado 46'
  • yellowcard David Martínez 46'
  • yellowcard Heung-min Son 60'
  • yellowcard Tyler Boyd 72'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choinière 79'
  • goal Denis Bouanga 82'
  • yellowcard Artem Smolyakov 90'+9'
  • goal Ryan Hollingshead 90'+14'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 1, 2025 3.45am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 3.30am
3
2
HT : 6 4
FT
  • Franco Negri 14' yellowcard
  • Franco Negri 14' yellowcard
  • Christopher McVey 21' goal
  • Christopher McVey 21' goal
  • Jeppe Tverskov 24' yellowcard
  • Jeppe Tverskov 24' yellowcard
  • Onni Valakari 33' goal
  • Onni Valakari 33' goal
  • Alex Mighten 40' goal
  • Alex Mighten 40' goal
  • William Kumado 88' yellowcard
  • William Kumado 88' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Martinez 19'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 19'
  • yellowcard Igor Jesus 21'
  • yellowcard Igor Jesus 21'
  • goal Artem Smoliakov 43'
  • goal Artem Smoliakov 43'
  • goal Cengiz Under 45'+5'
  • goal Cengiz Under 45'+5'
  • redcard Igor Jesus 53'
  • redcard Igor Jesus 53'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 90'+4'