Major League Soccer
Minnesota Utd
Aug 30, 2026 1.30am
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Field
Orlando City
  • Anthony Markanich Jr. 32' yellowcard
  • Cameron Knowles 32' yellowcard
  • Michael Boxall  66' yellowcard
  • Marcus Caldeira 71' goal
  • Anthony Markanich Jr. 74' goal
  • Kelvin Yeboah 75' goal
  • goal Daryl Enyinnaya Dike 28'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 54'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 64'
  • yellowcard Marco Pašalić 90'+2'
  • goal Tyrese Spicer 90'+3'

Minnesota United vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 3.30am
Earthquakes 1 - 5 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 12.30am
Orlando City 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Martín Ojeda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

Minnesota United 44.32% ▲ (+1.00)
Draw 25.73% ▼ (-0.13)
Orlando City 29.95% ▼ (-0.84)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.53% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.36% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 22.64% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 2.5 54.76% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 45.24% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 32.24% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 3.5 67.76% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 4.5 18.95% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 4.5 81.05% ▲ (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 39.39% ▲ (+0.36)
Draw 37.34% ▲ (+0.23)
Orlando City 23.27% ▼ (-0.58)

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 59.16% ▲ (+1.05)
No Goal 6.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Orlando City 34.41% ▼ (-1.09)

Corners

Over 8 66.8% ▼ (-0.39)
Equal 8 10.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 22.53% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 9 55.06% ▼ (-0.40)
Equal 9 11.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 33.2% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 10.5 43.32% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 10.5 56.68% ▲ (+0.37)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 45.63% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 54.37% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 2.5 21.64% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 78.36% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 8.55%
Under 3.5 91.45%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 66.3% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 0.5 33.7% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 1.5 33.39% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 1.5 66.61% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 2.5 12.64% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 2.5 87.36% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 3.5 3.98% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 96.02% ▲ (+0.22)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 44.32%
Draw 25.72%
Orlando City 29.95%
Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.20)
1-0 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 44.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 25.72%
Orlando City
0-1 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 29.95%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Mar 10, 2024 12.30am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Exploria Stadium
Minnesota Utd
  • Duncan McGuire 1' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 1' goal
  • Felipe 34' yellowcard
  • Felipe 34' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 83' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 83' goal
  • Wilder Cartagena 90'+11' redcard
  • goal Teemu Pukki 4'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 4'
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 32'
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 32'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 38'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 38'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 43'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 43'
  • yellowcard DJ Taylor 70'
  • yellowcard DJ Taylor 70'
  • yellowcard Kervin Arriaga 79'
  • yellowcard Kervin Arriaga 79'
  • yellowcard Dayne St Clair 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Dayne St Clair 90'+2'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 90'+5'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Bongokuhle Hlongwane 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Bongokuhle Hlongwane 90'+6'
  • redcard Joseph Rosales 90'+11'
Major League Soccer
Minnesota Utd
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Field
Orlando City
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 58' goal
  • goal Ivan Angulo 66'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 88'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Aug 7, 2020 1.00am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
Minnesota Utd
  • Nani 36' goal
  • Nani 42' goal
  • Benji Michel 90'+6' goal
  • goal Mason Toye 83'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 15
Orlando City
May 10, 2020 12.30am
Minnesota Utd
Major League Soccer Gameweek 32
Minnesota Utd
Aug 18, 2019 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
Orlando City
  • Jan Gregus 32' yellowcard
  • Chase Gasper 63' yellowcard
  • Ike Opara 70' yellowcard
  • Abu Danladi 92' goal
  • yellowcard Dom Dwyer 57'
  • goal Nani 70'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 3
Orlando City
Mar 11, 2018 12.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Orlando City Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
Minnesota Utd
  • Yoshimar Yotun 42' goal
  • Richie Laryea 56' yellowcard
  • goal Ethan Finlay 12'
  • goal Ethan Finlay 79'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Schuller 88'
  • yellowcard Mason Toye 94'

Form Data

Earthquakes 1 - 5 Minnesota Utd
Minnesota Utd 1 - 2 Atlanta
Salt Lake 1 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Minnesota Utd 3 - 1 Atlante
Tigres 0 - 0 Minnesota Utd
Minnesota Utd 1 - 2 Juarez
Orlando City 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Orlando City 1 - 2 Chicago Fire
Orlando City 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Orlando City 2 - 2 Atletico San Luis
Orlando City 1 - 2 Club Leon
Monterrey 1 - 2 Orlando City