Major League Soccer
Earthquakes
Aug 23, 2026 3.30am
PayPal Park
Minnesota Utd

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 3.30am
LA Galaxy 1 - 0 Earthquakes
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Preston Judd

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 1.30am
Minnesota Utd 1 - 2 Atlanta
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Minnesota United has a probability of 33.72% and a draw has a probability of 24.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Minnesota United win is 1-2 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.01%).

Result

San Jose Earthquakes 41.41% ▲ (+0.19)
Draw 24.84% ▲ (+0.43)
Minnesota United 33.72% ▼ (-0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.54% ▼ (-0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.97% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 1.5 21.03% ▲ (+0.97)
Over 2.5 56.69% ▼ (-1.31)
Under 2.5 43.31% ▲ (+1.31)
Over 3.5 35.22% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 3.5 64.78% ▲ (+1.08)
Over 4.5 20.38% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 4.5 79.62% ▲ (+0.81)

First Half Winner

San Jose Earthquakes 36.76% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 38.44% ▲ (+0.24)
Minnesota United 24.8% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

San Jose Earthquakes 55.71% ▼ (-0.45)
No Goal 5.56% ▲ (+0.36)
Minnesota United 38.73% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 72.14% ▼ (-0.32)
Equal 8 8.99% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 18.88% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 9 61.86% ▼ (-0.36)
Equal 9 10.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 27.86% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 10.5 51.05% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 10.5 48.95% ▲ (+0.38)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 1.5 44.26% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 55.74% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 20.32% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 79.68% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 3.5 7.49% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 92.51% ▲ (+0.15)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 69.88% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 0.5 30.12% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 1.5 38.17% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 1.5 61.83% ▲ (+1.09)
Over 2.5 15.61% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 2.5 84.39% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 3.5 5.27% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 3.5 94.73% ▲ (+0.44)

Score analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 41.4%
Draw 24.83%
Minnesota United 33.73%
San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.33)
2-0 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 41.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.36)
3-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.83%
Minnesota United
1-2 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.12)
0-1 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.45)
Total : 33.73%

Head to Head

US Open Cup
Earthquakes
Apr 29, 2026 3.00am
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT PayPal Park
Minnesota Utd
  • Beau Leroux 15' goal
  • Jack Skahan 34' yellowcard
  • Paul Marie 46' yellowcard
  • Jack Skahan 68' goal
  • Beau Leroux 73' goal
  • Niko Tsakiris 76' goal
  • Dave Romney 82' yellowcard
  • Ian Harkes 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ronaldo Vieira 59' (OG)
  • goal Tomás Chancalay 64'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 65'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Dieng 76'
  • yellowcard James Rodríguez 76'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Dieng 78'
  • yellowcard James Rodríguez 78'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Gonzalez 89'
Major League Soccer
Minnesota Utd
Jul 13, 2025 1.30am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Earthquakes
Mar 9, 2025 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Earthquakes Stadium
Minnesota Utd
  • Beau Leroux 61' yellowcard
  • Beau Leroux 61' yellowcard
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 32'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 32'
  • yellowcard Hassani Dotson 45'
  • yellowcard Hassani Dotson 45'
Major League Soccer
Earthquakes
Sep 1, 2024 3.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Avaya Stadium
Minnesota Utd
  • Ousseni Bouda 33' goal
  • Ousseni Bouda 33' goal
  • Carlos Gruezo 87' yellowcard
  • Carlos Gruezo 87' yellowcard
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 9'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 9'
  • goal Jefferson Abel Diaz Beleno 64'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 64'
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 79'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Abel Diaz Beleno 79'
Major League Soccer
Minnesota Utd
Jul 21, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
Earthquakes
  • Alejandro Bran 25' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Bran 25' yellowcard
  • Tanner Beason 38' goal
  • Tanner Beason 38' goal
  • Joseph Rosales 59' yellowcard
  • Joseph Rosales 59' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 68' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 68' yellowcard
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 75' goal
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 75' goal
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 45'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 45'
  • yellowcard Preston Judd 79'
  • yellowcard Preston Judd 79'
Major League Soccer
Minnesota Utd
Oct 1, 2023 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Field
Earthquakes
  • Teemu Pukki 56' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 56' goal
  • Kervin Arriaga 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kervin Arriaga 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Marie 82'
  • goal Paul Marie 82'

Form Data

LA Galaxy 1 - 0 Earthquakes
Earthquakes 1 - 3 St Louis City
Cincinnati 4 - 2 Earthquakes
Earthquakes 1 - 1 LA Galaxy
Earthquakes 0 - 4 Orlando City
Earthquakes 1 - 2 Tijuana
Minnesota Utd 1 - 2 Atlanta
Salt Lake 1 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Minnesota Utd 3 - 1 Atlante
Tigres 0 - 0 Minnesota Utd
Minnesota Utd 1 - 2 Juarez
Minnesota Utd 1 - 1 San Diego