Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026 3.30am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT PayPal Park
  • Beau Leroux 47' goal
  • Reid Roberts 82' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Ethan Edelman 8'
  • goal Simon Becher 27'
  • goal Simon Becher 55'
  • yellowcard Conrad Wallem 77'
  • yellowcard Tomas Totland 84'

San Jose Earthquakes vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 12.30am
Cincinnati 4 - 2 Earthquakes
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Preston Judd

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 1.30am
St Louis City 1 - 1 Salt Lake
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Marcel Hartel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

San Jose Earthquakes 45.15% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 25.52% ▲ (+0.22)
St Louis City 29.33% ▼ (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.84% ▼ (-0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.43% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 20.57% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 57.69% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 2.5 42.28% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 35.25% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 3.5 64.75% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 4.5 20.58% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 4.5 79.42% ▲ (+0.35)

First Half Winner

San Jose Earthquakes 35.19% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 40.24% ▲ (+0.21)
St Louis City 24.57% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

San Jose Earthquakes 53.52% ▼ (-0.28)
No Goal 5.74% ▲ (+0.16)
St Louis City 40.74% ▲ (+0.14)

Corners

Over 8 75.61% ▲ (+0.16)
Equal 8 8.62%
Under 8 15.77% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 9 65.4% ▲ (+0.16)
Equal 9 10.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 24.39% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 10.5 54.34% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 10.5 45.66% ▼ (-0.12)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 1.5 48.16% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 51.84% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 23.03% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 76.97% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 9.02% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 90.98% ▲ (+0.08)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 66.7% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 0.5 33.3% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 1.5 34.88% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 65.12% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 13.85% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 2.5 86.15% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 4.19% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 95.81% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 45.15%
Draw 25.53%
St Louis City 29.33%
San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 45.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.53%
St Louis City
1-2 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 29.33%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2026 1.30am
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Energizer Park
  • Eduard Löwen 46' yellowcard
  • Sergio Córdova 51' goal
  • Marcel Hartel 53' goal
  • Brendan McSorley 75' yellowcard
  • Cedric Teuchert 81' yellowcard
  • Eduard Löwen 85' yellowcard
  • Rafael Santos 86' yellowcard
  • goal Preston Judd 8'
  • yellowcard Daniel 24'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo Vieira 46'
  • yellowcard Niko Tsakiris 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo Vieira 47'
  • yellowcard 61'
  • yellowcard Ousseni Bouda 61'
  • yellowcard Timo Werner 69'
  • yellowcard Jamar Ricketts 70'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • goal Timo Werner 83'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 21, 2025 3.30am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 31, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT CityPark
  • Klauss 30' yellowcard
  • Xande Silva 43' yellowcard
  • Klauss 45'+2' goal
  • Eduard Lowen 90'+2' goal
  • Conrad Wallem 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Conrad Wallem 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Max Floriani 34'
  • goal Josef Martinez 82'
  • yellowcard Earl Edwards Jr. 90'
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 3.30am
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT Earthquakes Stadium
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 40' goal
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 40' goal
  • goal Cedric Teuchert 4'
  • goal Cedric Teuchert 4'
  • goal Marcel Hartel 12'
  • goal Marcel Hartel 12'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 39'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 39'
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT CityPark
  • Eduard Lowen 28' goal
  • Eduard Lowen 28' goal
  • Hosei Kijima 41' goal
  • Hosei Kijima 41' goal
  • Jayden Reid 56' yellowcard
  • Jayden Reid 56' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 61' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hernan Lopez 66'
  • yellowcard Hernan Lopez 66'
  • yellowcard Vitor Costa 72'
  • yellowcard Vitor Costa 72'
Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2023 3.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stanford Stadium
  • Jamiro Monteiro 47' goal
  • Jamiro Monteiro 47' goal
  • goal Samuel Adeniran 41'
  • goal Samuel Adeniran 41'
  • goal Samuel Adeniran 58'
  • goal Samuel Adeniran 58'