Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026 1.30am
Energizer Park

St Louis City vs Real Salt Lake - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 1.30am
St Louis City 1 - 0 Colorado
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Marcel Hartel

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 3.30am
Portland 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Sergi Solans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Louis City win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw has a probability of 23.04% and a win for Real Salt Lake has a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.41%) , while for a Real Salt Lake win it is 1-2 (5.72%).

Result

St Louis City 54.6%
Draw 23.04%
Real Salt Lake 22.36%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.39% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.92% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.08% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 56.69% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 43.31% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 34.64% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.36% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.15% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 78.85% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

St Louis City 42.3% (+0.04)
Draw 36.04% (-0.04)
Real Salt Lake 21.66% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

St Louis City 58.51%
No Goal 5.55% (-0.01)
Real Salt Lake 35.94% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 70.3%
Equal 8 9.68%
Under 8 20.03%
Over 9 59.36%
Equal 9 10.93%
Under 9 29.7%
Over 10.5 48.07%
Under 10.5 51.93%

St Louis City Goals

Over 1.5 53.82% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 46.18% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 27.28% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 72.72% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.36% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 88.64% (-0.02)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5 59.07% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 40.93% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 27.43% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.57% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 9.75% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.25% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.99%
Under 3.5 97.01%

Score analysis

St Louis City 54.6%
Draw 23.04%
Real Salt Lake 22.36%
St Louis City
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.93% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.86% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.84% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 3.45% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.16% (+0.02)
Total : 54.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.41% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.04%
Real Salt Lake
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-1 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 22.36%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 19, 2025 2.00am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 6, 2025 2.30am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 3.30am
3
1
HT : 0 2
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Bode Davis 28' yellowcard
  • Bode Davis 28' yellowcard
  • Cristian Arango 70' goal
  • Cristian Arango 70' goal
  • Cristian Arango 84' goal
  • Cristian Arango 84' goal
  • Cristian Arango 90'+1' goal
  • Cristian Arango 90'+1' goal
  • goal Indiana Vassilev 3'
  • goal Indiana Vassilev 3'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich 30'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich 30'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 90'+9'
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT CityPark
  • Celio Pompeu 24' yellowcard
  • Celio Pompeu 24' yellowcard
  • Samuel Adeniran 79' goal
  • Samuel Adeniran 79' goal
  • goal Cristian Arango 74'
  • goal Cristian Arango 74'
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT CityPark
  • Nicholas Gioacchini 21' goal
  • Nicholas Gioacchini 21' goal
  • goal Diego Luna 15'
  • goal Diego Luna 15'
  • goal Damir Kreilach 48'
  • goal Damir Kreilach 48'
  • goal Damir Kreilach 66'
  • goal Damir Kreilach 66'
Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 3.30am
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • goal Nicholas Gioacchini 47'
  • goal Klauss 61'
  • goal Klauss 66'
  • goal Rasmus Alm 76'